US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

RCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $262.87 and stabilize above resistance $273.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $273.65 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.8, MACD 0.655

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.06 (1.17%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$260.75Bearish
EMA 21$262.87Bearish
EMA 50$270.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD 0.655

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.06 · BB 4.22%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 41.2 · OBV 10.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$256.47 - $273.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.18% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$276.71
Nearest resistance

+5.01% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$273.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.6
Nearest support

-1.58% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$256.47
Deeper support zone

-2.76% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$253.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$257.54 - $263.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $266, invalidation $256.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 18.3 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$251.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.95 / $277.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.06 (1.17%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.22%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$268.32 / $256.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$257.54 / $263.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$273.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.655Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 36.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.63%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $266, invalidation $256.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 18.3 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$251.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.95 / $277.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.655Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 36.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.06 (1.17%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.22%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$268.32 / $256.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$257.54 / $263.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.63%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$273.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.47Range

Related Forecasts