US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish65%
4h Downside probability 65%Bearish

RCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $331.81 and stabilize above resistance $342.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $342.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -2.492

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.49 (1.08%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$330.81Bearish
EMA 21$331.81Bearish
EMA 50$323.49Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -2.492

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.49 · BB 6.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV 18.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$311 - $342.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.73% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$345.81
Nearest resistance

+5.65% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$342.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$324
Nearest support

-4.01% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$311
Deeper support zone

-5.09% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$307.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$320.51 - $327.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.99, invalidation $335.11

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.3 / 6.7 / 39.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$311.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$331.1 / $319.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.49 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.28%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$339.45 / $324.49Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$320.51 / $327.49Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$342.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$311Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.492Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.0 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.88xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $341.99, invalidation $335.11

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.3 / 6.7 / 39.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$311.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$331.1 / $319.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.492Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.0 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-184.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.49 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.28%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$339.45 / $324.49Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$320.51 / $327.49Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.05%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.88xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$342.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$311Range

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