US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

RCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $266.16 and reclaim $327.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $266.16 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.0, MACD 0.899

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.58 (3.28%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$314.56Bullish
EMA 21$304.74Bullish
EMA 50$291.77Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.0 · MACD 0.899

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $10.58 · BB 21.82%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 65.3 · OBV 9.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$266.16 - $327.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.95% · 1.5 ATR above latest close

$338.48
Nearest resistance

+1.67% · 0.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$327.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$322.52
Nearest support

-17.47% · 5.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$266.16
Deeper support zone

-20.75% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$255.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$311.94 - $333.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $280.03, invalidation $315.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 37.3 / 29.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.5 / $280.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.58 (3.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.82%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$327.48 / $283.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$311.94 / $333.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.899Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.8 / 87.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

93.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $280.03, invalidation $315.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 37.3 / 29.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$289.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.5 / $280.04Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

91%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.899Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.8 / 87.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

93.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.58 (3.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.82%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$327.48 / $283.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$311.94 / $333.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$327.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$266.16Range

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