US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $297.42 and stabilize above resistance $313.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $313.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.6, MACD -0.304

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.27 (1.12%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$292.65Bearish
EMA 21$297.42Bearish
EMA 50$303.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.6 · MACD -0.304

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.27 · BB 7.70%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 49.3 · OBV -12.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$284.25 - $313.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.48% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$316.77
Nearest resistance

+7.36% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$313.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$292
Nearest support

-2.65% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$284.25
Deeper support zone

-3.77% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$280.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$288.73 - $295.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $304.22, invalidation $284.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.2 / 12.9 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$281.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$295.48 / $307.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.27 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.70%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$304.48 / $289.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$288.73 / $295.27Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$313.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.8 / 36.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $304.22, invalidation $284.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.2 / 12.9 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$281.08Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$295.48 / $307.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.8 / 36.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.27 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.70%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$304.48 / $289.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$288.73 / $295.27Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$313.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284.25Range

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