US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish72%
4h Downside probability 72%Bearish

RCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $283.47 and stabilize above resistance $296.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $296.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.9, MACD -1.284

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.49 (1.99%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$282.49Bearish
EMA 21$283.47Bearish
EMA 50$280.43Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.9 · MACD -1.284

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.49 · BB 6.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.8 · OBV -2.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$270 - $296.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.72% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$302.19
Nearest resistance

+7.73% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$296.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$275.41
Nearest support

-1.96% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$270
Deeper support zone

-3.96% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$264.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$269.92 - $280.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $291.05, invalidation $283.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.0 / 28.0 / 23.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$261.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$284.55 / $282.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.49 (1.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.27%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$293.85 / $273.16Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$269.92 / $280.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$296.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$270Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.8 / 16.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $291.05, invalidation $283.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.0 / 28.0 / 23.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$261.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$284.55 / $282.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.284Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.8 / 16.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.49 (1.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.27%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$293.85 / $273.16Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$269.92 / $280.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.52%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$296.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$270Range

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