US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish58%
Weekly Downside probability 58%Bearish

RCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $279.87 and stabilize above resistance $356.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $356.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.9, MACD -4.394

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.89 (8.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$269.69Bullish
EMA 21$279.87Bearish
EMA 50$281.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.9 · MACD -4.394

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $22.89 · BB 31.62%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.2 · OBV 3.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$222.22 - $356.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.56% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$379.28
Nearest resistance

+28.32% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$356.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$277.74
Nearest support

-19.99% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$222.22
Deeper support zone

-28.23% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$199.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$254.85 - $300.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334, invalidation $277.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 16.1 / 36.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$192.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.11 / $289.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.89 (8.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.62%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$325.46 / $233.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$254.85 / $300.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$356.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$222.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.394Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.7 / 22.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334, invalidation $277.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 16.1 / 36.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$192.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.11 / $289.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.394Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.7 / 22.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.89 (8.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.62%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$325.46 / $233.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$254.85 / $300.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$356.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$222.22Range

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