US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange52%
Weekly Range probability 96%Range

RCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $232.1 - $356.39 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.2, MACD 2.014

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $28.6 (10.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$290.28Bearish
EMA 21$287.22Bearish
EMA 50$282.31Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD 2.014

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $28.6 · BB 23.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.9 · OBV -5.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$232.1 - $356.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.32% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$384.99
Nearest resistance

+25.27% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$356.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$284.5
Nearest support

-18.42% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$232.1
Deeper support zone

-28.47% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$203.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$255.9 - $313.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $333.39, invalidation $232.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 16.7 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$288.5 / $299.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.6 (10.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.03%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$343.25 / $231.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.9 / $313.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$356.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$232.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.014Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.7 / 55.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

40.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $333.39, invalidation $232.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 16.7 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$288.5 / $299.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.014Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.7 / 55.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

40.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.6 (10.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.03%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$343.25 / $231.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$255.9 / $313.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$356.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$232.1Range

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