US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish54%
Weekly Downside probability 54%Bearish

RCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $287.62 and stabilize above resistance $356.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $356.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -3.651

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.07 (9.25%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$282.62Bearish
EMA 21$287.62Bearish
EMA 50$284.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -3.651

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $24.07 · BB 27.47%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.5 · OBV 3.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$232.1 - $356.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.25% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$380.46
Nearest resistance

+37% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$356.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.14
Nearest support

-10.78% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$232.1
Deeper support zone

-20.03% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$208.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$236.07 - $284.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334, invalidation $277.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 17.3 / 33.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.2 / $294.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.07 (9.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.47%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$326.66 / $248.43Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.07 / $284.21Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$356.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$232.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.651Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.4 / 12.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334, invalidation $277.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 17.3 / 33.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.2 / $294.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.651Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.4 / 12.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-108.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.07 (9.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.47%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$326.66 / $248.43Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$236.07 / $284.21Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.55%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$356.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$232.1Range

Related Forecasts