US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish75%
Weekly Downside probability 75%Bearish

RCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $279.46 and stabilize above resistance $334.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $334 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -1.058

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.71 (7.88%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$274.03Bullish
EMA 21$279.46Bearish
EMA 50$280.94Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -1.058

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $21.71 · BB 30.37%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.5 · OBV -1.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$222.22 - $334

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.16% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$355.71
Nearest resistance

+21.27% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$334
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$275.41
Nearest support

-19.31% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$222.22
Deeper support zone

-27.2% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$200.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$253.7 - $297.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334, invalidation $222.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 23.5 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$269.3 / $289.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.71 (7.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.37%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$321.92 / $236.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.7 / $297.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$222.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.6 / 50.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $334, invalidation $222.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.7 / 23.5 / 33.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$269.3 / $289.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.6 / 50.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.71 (7.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.37%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$321.92 / $236.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.7 / $297.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.63xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$222.22Range

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