US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish70%
12h Downside probability 70%Bearish

RCL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $291.94 and stabilize above resistance $333.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $333.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -0.487

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.03 (2.82%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$286.01Bearish
EMA 21$291.94Bearish
EMA 50$293.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -0.487

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.03 · BB 18.32%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 65.5 · OBV -44.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$273.25 - $333.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.01% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$341.42
Nearest resistance

+17.18% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$333.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$284.5
Nearest support

-3.95% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$273.25
Deeper support zone

-6.78% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$265.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$276.47 - $292.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $299.47, invalidation $281.17

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.8 / 29.6 / 25.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$266.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$295.04 / $299.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.03 (2.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.32%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$306.24 / $276.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$276.47 / $292.53Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$333.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$273.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.487Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $299.47, invalidation $281.17

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.8 / 29.6 / 25.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$266.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$295.04 / $299.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.487Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.9 / 38.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.03 (2.82%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.32%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$306.24 / $276.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$276.47 / $292.53Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$333.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$273.25Range

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