US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RCL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $268.89 and stabilize above resistance $304.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $304.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.6, MACD 0.656

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.15 (1.59%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$261.98Bearish
EMA 21$268.89Bearish
EMA 50$281.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.6 · MACD 0.656

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.15 · BB 10.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.1 · OBV -4343.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$256.47 - $304.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.33% · 11.5 ATR above latest close

$308.37
Nearest resistance

+16.74% · 10.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$304.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.6
Nearest support

-1.58% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$256.47
Deeper support zone

-3.18% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$252.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$256.45 - $264.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $256.47, invalidation $268.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.3 / 20.8 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$250.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$270.13 / $293.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.15 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.43%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$276.4 / $260.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.45 / $264.75Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$304.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.656Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4343.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $256.47, invalidation $268.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.3 / 20.8 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$250.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$270.13 / $293.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.656Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.15 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.43%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$276.4 / $260.22Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$256.45 / $264.75Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4343.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$304.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.47Range

Related Forecasts