US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish87%
12h Downside probability 87%Bearish

RCL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $302.9 and stabilize above resistance $334.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $334 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.1, MACD -1.915

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.61 (1.58%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$296.19Bearish
EMA 21$302.9Bearish
EMA 50$304.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.1 · MACD -1.915

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.61 · BB 9.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.7 · OBV -26.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$284.25 - $334

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.96% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$338.61
Nearest resistance

+14.38% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$334
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$292
Nearest support

-2.65% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$284.25
Deeper support zone

-4.23% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$279.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$287.39 - $296.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $284.25, invalidation $304.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.4 / 15.8 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$277.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.93 / $305.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.61 (1.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.87%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$311.92 / $293.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.39 / $296.61Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.915Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 21.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $284.25, invalidation $304.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.4 / 15.8 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$277.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.93 / $305.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.915Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 21.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.61 (1.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.87%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$311.92 / $293.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$287.39 / $296.61Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$284.25Range

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