US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish79%
Monthly Upside probability 79%Bullish

RCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $84.01 and reclaim $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $84.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.4, MACD -3.344

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $53.69 (16.31%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$305.22Bullish
EMA 21$275.14Bullish
EMA 50$212.91Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.4 · MACD -3.344

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $53.69 · BB 54.16%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.3 · OBV 28.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$84.01 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.65% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$420.19
Nearest resistance

+11.34% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$329.16
Nearest support

-74.48% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.01
Deeper support zone

-90.79% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$30.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$275.47 - $382.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $333.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 20.9 / 20.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$163.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.27 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$53.69 (16.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.16%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$385.89 / $169.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$275.47 / $382.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.344Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.2 / 67.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

87.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $333.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.8 / 20.9 / 20.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$163.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.27 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.344Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.2 / 67.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

87.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$53.69 (16.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.16%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$385.89 / $169.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$275.47 / $382.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.01Range

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