US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish77%
Monthly Upside probability 77%Bullish

RCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $78.35 and reclaim $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $78.35 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 55.1, MACD -6.765

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $56.55 (19.88%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$290.87Bearish
EMA 21$266.66Bullish
EMA 50$206.83Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.1 · MACD -6.765

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $56.55 · BB 55.31%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.9 · OBV 30.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$78.35 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.7% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$423.05
Nearest resistance

+28.82% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$284.5
Nearest support

-72.46% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.35
Deeper support zone

-92.34% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$21.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$227.95 - $341.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $356.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 26.6 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$128.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.27 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

60%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.55 (19.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.31%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$382.84 / $155.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$227.95 / $341.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.765Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.0 / 55.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $356.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.8 / 26.6 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$128.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.27 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

60%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.765Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.0 / 55.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

30.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.55 (19.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.31%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$382.84 / $155.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$227.95 / $341.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

30.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.35Range

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