US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish63%
Monthly Upside probability 63%Bullish

RCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $113.1 and reclaim $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $113.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 53.4, MACD -9.077

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $53.77 (19.36%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$284.97Bearish
EMA 21$270.51Bullish
EMA 50$215.47Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.4 · MACD -9.077

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $53.77 · BB 51.50%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.0 · OBV 58.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$113.1 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+51.32% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$420.27
Nearest resistance

+31.96% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$277.74
Nearest support

-59.28% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$113.1
Deeper support zone

-78.64% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$59.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$223.97 - $331.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $334

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 16.8 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$274.8 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$53.77 (19.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.50%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$383.62 / $161.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.97 / $331.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.077Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.5 / 33.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

58.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $334

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 16.8 / 25.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$274.8 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.077Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.5 / 33.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$53.77 (19.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.50%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$383.62 / $161.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.97 / $331.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

58.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.17xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$113.1Range

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