US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish71%
Monthly Upside probability 71%Bullish

RCL 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $84.01 and reclaim $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $84.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 55.9, MACD -5.715

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $56.39 (19.31%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$296.96Bearish
EMA 21$271.76Bullish
EMA 50$211.45Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.9 · MACD -5.715

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $56.39 · BB 52.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV 23.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$84.01 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.83% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$422.89
Nearest resistance

+25.51% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$292
Nearest support

-71.23% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.01
Deeper support zone

-90.54% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$27.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$235.61 - $348.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $356.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 20.4 / 19.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$135.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.27 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.39 (19.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.94%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$389.92 / $158.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$235.61 / $348.39Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.715Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.6 / 58.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

42.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $356.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 20.4 / 19.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$135.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.27 / $198.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.715Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.6 / 58.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

42.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$56.39 (19.31%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.94%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$389.92 / $158.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$235.61 / $348.39Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

23.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.01Range

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