US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

RL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $354.95 and stabilize above resistance $411.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $411.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.4, MACD -1.080

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.77 (3.18%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$343.21Bearish
EMA 21$354.95Bearish
EMA 50$367.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.4 · MACD -1.080

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.77 · BB 17.83%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.4 · OBV -6.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$331.35 - $411.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.44% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$421.96
Nearest resistance

+21.26% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$411.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$339.09
Nearest support

-2.28% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$331.35
Deeper support zone

-5.46% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$320.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$328.32 - $349.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $331.35, invalidation $358.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.8 / 11.5 / 36.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$303.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$356.81 / $371.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.77 (3.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.83%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$376.55 / $331.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$328.32 / $349.86Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$411.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $331.35, invalidation $358.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

60.8 / 11.5 / 36.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$303.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$356.81 / $371.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.1 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.77 (3.18%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.83%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$376.55 / $331.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$328.32 / $349.86Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$411.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

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