US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish75%
Daily Downside probability 75%Bearish

RL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $382.88 and stabilize above resistance $411.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $411.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.9, MACD -2.007

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $12.47 (3.35%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$378.44Bearish
EMA 21$382.88Bearish
EMA 50$382.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.9 · MACD -2.007

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.47 · BB 8.92%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.2 · OBV -5.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$365.69 - $411.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.71% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$423.66
Nearest resistance

+10.36% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$411.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$372.59
Nearest support

-1.85% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$365.69
Deeper support zone

-5.2% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$353.22
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$360.12 - $385.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $365.69, invalidation $406.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 21.5 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$346.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.53 / $393.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$12.47 (3.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.92%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$402.24 / $363.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.12 / $385.06Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$411.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$365.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.007Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $365.69, invalidation $406.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 21.5 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$346.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.53 / $393.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.007Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 15.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$12.47 (3.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.92%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$402.24 / $363.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.12 / $385.06Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$411.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$365.69Range

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