US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

RL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $391.83 and stabilize above resistance $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $421.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD -4.267

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.88 (3.22%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$389.03Bearish
EMA 21$391.83Bearish
EMA 50$382.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD -4.267

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.88 · BB 11.30%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.3 · OBV -1.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$355 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.48% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$433.48
Nearest resistance

+14.26% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$368.97
Nearest support

-3.79% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$355
Deeper support zone

-7.01% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$343.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$357.09 - $380.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.61, invalidation $399

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 10.9 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$338.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$388.74 / $369.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.88 (3.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.30%

-20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$416.06 / $367.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$357.09 / $380.85Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.267Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 28.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-221.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.61, invalidation $399

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 10.9 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$338.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$388.74 / $369.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.267Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.8 / 28.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-221.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.88 (3.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.30%

-20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$416.06 / $367.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$357.09 / $380.85Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355Range

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