US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish86%
Daily Downside probability 86%Bearish

CVNA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $61.59 and stabilize above resistance $76.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $76.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD -0.132

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.89 (5%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$59.38Bearish
EMA 21$61.59Bearish
EMA 50$64.55Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD -0.132

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.89 · BB 14.84%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.2 · OBV -0.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$56.28 - $76.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.96% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$79.26
Nearest resistance

+31.97% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$76.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$57.87
Nearest support

-2.76% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$56.28
Deeper support zone

-7.75% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$53.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$54.98 - $60.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.28, invalidation $62.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 18.7 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.99 / $66.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.89 (5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.84%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$67.86 / $55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.98 / $60.76Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$56.28Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.132Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 24.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.28, invalidation $62.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 18.7 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$47.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$60.99 / $66.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.132Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 24.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.89 (5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.84%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$67.86 / $55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.98 / $60.76Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$56.28Range

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