US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

CVNA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $67.74 and stabilize above resistance $81.91.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $81.91 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.069

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.02 (6.2%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$66.4Bearish
EMA 21$67.74Bearish
EMA 50$69.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.069

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.02 · BB 18.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.7 · OBV 0.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$61.04 - $81.91

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.56% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$85.93
Nearest resistance

+26.37% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$81.91
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$64.82
Nearest support

-5.83% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$61.04
Deeper support zone

-12.03% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$57.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$60.8 - $68.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.41, invalidation $71.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 22.2 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.49 / $72.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.02 (6.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.07%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$76.03 / $59.26Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.8 / $68.84Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.04Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.069Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 40.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.41, invalidation $71.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.3 / 22.2 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$53.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$67.49 / $72.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.069Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 40.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.02 (6.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.07%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$76.03 / $59.26Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.8 / $68.84Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.31xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$81.91Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.04Range

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