US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish91%
Daily Downside probability 91%Bearish

CVNA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65.87 and stabilize above resistance $76.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $76.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD -0.190

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.79 (4.38%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$63.83Bearish
EMA 21$65.87Bearish
EMA 50$67.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD -0.190

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.79 · BB 20.14%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.3 · OBV -0.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$58.92 - $76.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.81% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$79.59
Nearest resistance

+20.43% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$76.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.77
Nearest support

-7.61% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$58.92
Deeper support zone

-11.98% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$56.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$60.98 - $66.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $58.92, invalidation $65.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.8 / 17.4 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.08 / $66.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.79 (4.38%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.14%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$71.81 / $59.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.98 / $66.56Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.190Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.2 / 40.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $58.92, invalidation $65.48

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.8 / 17.4 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$65.08 / $66.46Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.190Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.2 / 40.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.79 (4.38%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.14%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$71.81 / $59.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$60.98 / $66.56Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$76.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.92Range

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