US stock / ETF

Carvana Co.

CVNA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish91%
Daily Downside probability 91%Bearish

CVNA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $65.03 and stabilize above resistance $72.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $72.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.7, MACD -0.060

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.04 (6.41%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$64.02Bearish
EMA 21$65.03Bearish
EMA 50$66.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD -0.060

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.04 · BB 18.60%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.8 · OBV 0.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$56.12 - $72.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.83% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$76.81
Nearest resistance

+15.42% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$72.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$63.05
Nearest support

-10.99% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$56.12
Deeper support zone

-17.4% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$52.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$59.01 - $67.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.12, invalidation $69.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 24.7 / 32.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$50.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$63.6 / $65.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.04 (6.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.60%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$73.79 / $56.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$59.01 / $67.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$72.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$56.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.060Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.6 / 46.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.08%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $56.12, invalidation $69.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 24.7 / 32.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$50.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$63.6 / $65.62Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.060Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.6 / 46.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.04 (6.41%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.60%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$73.79 / $56.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$59.01 / $67.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.08%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.05xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$72.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$56.12Range

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