US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

NVR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,277.3 and stabilize above resistance $6,558.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,558.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -20.965

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $124.9 (2.03%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,207.4Bearish
EMA 21$6,277.3Bearish
EMA 50$6,335.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -20.965

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $124.9 · BB 6.18%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.7 · OBV -44.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$6,057.8 - $6,558.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.49% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$6,683.7
Nearest resistance

+6.46% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,558.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,160.8
Nearest support

-1.67% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,057.8
Deeper support zone

-3.7% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$5,932.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,035.9 - $6,285.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,057.8, invalidation $6,259

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 12.6 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,761Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,276.3 / $6,399.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$124.9 (2.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.18%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,518 / $6,029.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,035.9 / $6,285.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,558.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,057.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.965Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-139.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,057.8, invalidation $6,259

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 12.6 / 25.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,761Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,276.3 / $6,399.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.965Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-139.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$124.9 (2.03%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.18%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,518 / $6,029.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,035.9 / $6,285.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-44.33%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,558.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,057.8Range

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