US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish80%
Daily Downside probability 80%Bearish

NVR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,381.8 and stabilize above resistance $6,956.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,956.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -27.626

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $210.54 (3.35%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,302.5Bearish
EMA 21$6,381.8Bearish
EMA 50$6,413.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -27.626

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $210.54 · BB 8.31%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.7 · OBV -41.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5,919.3 - $6,956.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.94% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$7,167
Nearest resistance

+10.6% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,956.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,290
Nearest support

-5.89% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,919.3
Deeper support zone

-9.24% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$5,708.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,079.5 - $6,500.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,558.8, invalidation $6,111.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 22.9 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,637.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,319.1 / $6,324Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$210.54 (3.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.31%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,800.6 / $5,956.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,079.5 / $6,500.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,956.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,919.3Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-27.626Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.6 / 32.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,558.8, invalidation $6,111.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 22.9 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,637.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,319.1 / $6,324Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-27.626Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.6 / 32.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$210.54 (3.35%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.31%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,800.6 / $5,956.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,079.5 / $6,500.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-41.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,956.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,919.3Range

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