US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

NVR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,193.1 and stabilize above resistance $6,526.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,526.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -20.601

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $141.96 (2.37%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,120Bearish
EMA 21$6,193.1Bearish
EMA 50$6,266.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -20.601

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $141.96 · BB 5.56%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.4 · OBV -60.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5,948.1 - $6,526.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.26% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$6,668.8
Nearest resistance

+8.89% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,526.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,993.9
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,948.1
Deeper support zone

-3.13% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$5,806.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,851.9 - $6,135.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,378, invalidation $6,195.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 12.2 / 21.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,619.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,169.6 / $6,239Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$141.96 (2.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.56%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,492.5 / $5,886.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,851.9 / $6,135.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,526.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,948.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.601Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-166.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,378, invalidation $6,195.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.5 / 12.2 / 21.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,619.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,169.6 / $6,239Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-20.601Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-166.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$141.96 (2.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.56%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,492.5 / $5,886.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,851.9 / $6,135.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,526.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,948.1Range

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