US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish67%
Daily Downside probability 67%Bearish

NVR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,035.5 and stabilize above resistance $6,554.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,554.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.3, MACD -24.862

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $230.98 (3.97%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,000Bearish
EMA 21$6,035.5Bearish
EMA 50$6,089Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.3 · MACD -24.862

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $230.98 · BB 12.89%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 67.6 · OBV -12.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,550 - $6,554.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.7% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$6,785.3
Nearest resistance

+12.73% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,554.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,814.3
Nearest support

-4.55% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,550
Deeper support zone

-8.52% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$5,319
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,583.4 - $6,045.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,554.4, invalidation $5,666.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.4 / 25.0 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,188.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,111.8 / $6,052.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$230.98 (3.97%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.89%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,505.5 / $5,563.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,583.4 / $6,045.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,554.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,550Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-24.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.6 / 19.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,554.4, invalidation $5,666.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.4 / 25.0 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,188.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,111.8 / $6,052.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-24.862Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.6 / 19.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$230.98 (3.97%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.89%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,505.5 / $5,563.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,583.4 / $6,045.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,554.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,550Range

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