US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish73%
3M Upside probability 73%Bullish

RCL 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $19.25 and reclaim $366.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $19.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $68.24 (23.99%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$266.3Bullish
EMA 21$192.51Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.6 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $68.24 · BB 235.20%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 77.2 · OBV 88.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$19.25 - $366.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.81% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$434.74
Nearest resistance

+28.82% · 1.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$366.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$284.5
Nearest support

-93.23% · 3.9 ATR below · 29-bar low

$19.25
Deeper support zone

-117.22% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

-$48.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.26 - $352.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $356.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.3 / 33.9 / 8.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$221.33 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

76%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$68.24 (23.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 235.20%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.97 / $36.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.26 / $352.74Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.3 / 76.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

97.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

88.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.1, invalidation $356.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.3 / 33.9 / 8.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$221.33 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

76%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.3 / 76.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

97.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$68.24 (23.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 235.20%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$358.97 / $36.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.26 / $352.74Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

88.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$366.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.25Range

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