US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RCL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $287.01 and stabilize above resistance $299.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $299.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -0.465

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.48 (0.87%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$285.82Bearish
EMA 21$287.01Bearish
EMA 50$287.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -0.465

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.48 · BB 5.06%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 11.0 · OBV -99.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$281.17 - $299.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.14% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$301.95
Nearest resistance

+5.26% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$299.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$284.5
Nearest support

-1.17% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$281.17
Deeper support zone

-2.04% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$278.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$282.02 - $286.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $283.52, invalidation $286.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.8 / 29.3 / 29.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$274.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.78 / $290.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.48 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.06%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$292.97 / $280.96Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$282.02 / $286.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$299.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$281.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-99.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.40xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $283.52, invalidation $286.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.8 / 29.3 / 29.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$274.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$289.78 / $290.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.48 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.06%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$292.97 / $280.96Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$282.02 / $286.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-99.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.40xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$299.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$281.17Range

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