US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RCL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $282.43 and stabilize above resistance $292.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $292.96 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.4, MACD -1.086

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.22 (0.8%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$278.91Bearish
EMA 21$282.43Bearish
EMA 50$284.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.4 · MACD -1.086

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.22 · BB 6.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 11.0 · OBV -8.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$274.34 - $292.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.18% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$295.18
Nearest resistance

+6.37% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$292.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$275.41
Nearest support

-0.39% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$274.34
Deeper support zone

-1.19% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$272.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$273.19 - $277.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $274.34, invalidation $287.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.7 / 6.9 / 54.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$267.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.51 / $285.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.22 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.66%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$287.82 / $276.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$273.19 / $277.63Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$274.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 21.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $274.34, invalidation $287.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.7 / 6.9 / 54.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$267.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$281.51 / $285.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.086Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.1 / 21.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.22 (0.8%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.66%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$287.82 / $276.72Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$273.19 / $277.63Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

11.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$274.34Range

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