US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish87%
1h Downside probability 87%Bearish

RCL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $331.36 and stabilize above resistance $341.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $341.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.4, MACD -1.227

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.5 (0.77%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$326.99Bearish
EMA 21$331.36Bearish
EMA 50$333.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.4 · MACD -1.227

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.5 · BB 6.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.7 · OBV -10.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$321.99 - $341.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.32% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$344.49
Nearest resistance

+5.55% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$341.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$324
Nearest support

-0.62% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$321.99
Deeper support zone

-1.39% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$319.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$321.5 - $326.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $328.95, invalidation $338.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.5 / 5.9 / 55.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$314.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$329.99 / $332.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (0.77%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.31%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$337.12 / $325.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$321.5 / $326.5Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$321.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.227Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 5.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.95xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $328.95, invalidation $338.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.5 / 5.9 / 55.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$314.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$329.99 / $332.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.227Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 5.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-145.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (0.77%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.31%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$337.12 / $325.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$321.5 / $326.5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.95xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$341.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$321.99Range

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