US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish80%
Daily Downside probability 80%Bearish

RCL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $303.3 and stabilize above resistance $334.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $334 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -3.438

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.25 (2.48%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$297.98Bearish
EMA 21$303.3Bearish
EMA 50$300.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -3.438

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.25 · BB 15.95%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -2.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$278 - $334

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.87% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$341.25
Nearest resistance

+14.38% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$334
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$292
Nearest support

-4.79% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$278
Deeper support zone

-7.28% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$270.75
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$284.75 - $299.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $284.25, invalidation $313.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 6.4 / 46.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$269.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$302.6 / $300.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.25 (2.48%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.95%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$318.05 / $288.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$284.75 / $299.25Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$278Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.438Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 13.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $284.25, invalidation $313.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 6.4 / 46.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$269.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$302.6 / $300.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.438Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 13.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.25 (2.48%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.95%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$318.05 / $288.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$284.75 / $299.25Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$278Range

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