US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish82%
Daily Downside probability 82%Bearish

RCL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $294.57 and stabilize above resistance $333.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $333.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -3.999

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.9 (3.83%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$290.29Bearish
EMA 21$294.57Bearish
EMA 50$289.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -3.999

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.9 · BB 18.50%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.2 · OBV -6.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$258.63 - $333.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.02% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$344.29
Nearest resistance

+17.18% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$333.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$284.5
Nearest support

-9.09% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$258.63
Deeper support zone

-12.93% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$247.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$273.6 - $295.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $277.8, invalidation $290.84

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 22.5 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$258.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$299.37 / $282.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.9 (3.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.50%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.53 / $274.73Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$273.6 / $295.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$333.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$258.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.999Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.1 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.74%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $277.8, invalidation $290.84

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 22.5 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$258.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$299.37 / $282.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.999Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.1 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.9 (3.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.50%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.53 / $274.73Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$273.6 / $295.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.74%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$333.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$258.63Range

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