US stock / ETF

Royal Caribbean Group

RCL · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish91%
Daily Downside probability 91%Bearish

RCL 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $276.77 and stabilize above resistance $334.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $334 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.9, MACD -1.656

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.69 (2.57%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$264.31Bearish
EMA 21$276.77Bearish
EMA 50$287.05Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.9 · MACD -1.656

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.69 · BB 22.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.7 · OBV -8.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$256.71 - $334

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.96% · 12.0 ATR above latest close

$340.69
Nearest resistance

+28.39% · 11.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$334
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$260.14
Nearest support

-1.32% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$256.71
Deeper support zone

-3.89% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$250.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$253.45 - $266.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $256.71, invalidation $268.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.5 / 8.4 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$277.61 / $295.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.69 (2.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.20%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$288.81 / $263.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.45 / $266.83Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.656Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 7.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $256.71, invalidation $268.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.5 / 8.4 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$242.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$277.61 / $295.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.656Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.5 / 7.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.69 (2.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.20%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$288.81 / $263.21Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$253.45 / $266.83Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$334Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.71Range

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