US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish61%
Daily Downside probability 61%Bearish

BABA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $122.95 and stabilize above resistance $130.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $130.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -0.989

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.01 (3.36%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$124.13Bearish
EMA 21$122.95Bearish
EMA 50$120.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -0.989

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.01 · BB 15.62%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.8 · OBV 19.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$105.65 - $130.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.13% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$135
Nearest resistance

+9.76% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$130.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$119.34
Nearest support

-11.47% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$105.65
Deeper support zone

-14.84% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$101.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.33 - $123.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $130.62, invalidation $121.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 15.1 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.13 / $111.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.01 (3.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.62%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$132.56 / $113.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.33 / $123.35Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.989Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.9 / 32.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $130.62, invalidation $121.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.1 / 15.1 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$108.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.13 / $111.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.989Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.9 / 32.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.01 (3.36%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.62%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$132.56 / $113.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.33 / $123.35Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.65Range

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