US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

BABA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $115.02 and stabilize above resistance $130.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $130.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.1, MACD -1.065

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.47 (2.26%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$111.11Bearish
EMA 21$115.02Bearish
EMA 50$117.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.1 · MACD -1.065

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.47 · BB 22.76%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV 5.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$107.72 - $130.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.11% · 9.8 ATR above latest close

$133.46
Nearest resistance

+19.84% · 8.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$130.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.3
Nearest support

-1.45% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107.72
Deeper support zone

-3.71% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$105.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$106.83 - $111.77

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.72, invalidation $113.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 23.5 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.98 / $113.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.47 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.76%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.28 / $110.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.83 / $111.77Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.065Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.9Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.72, invalidation $113.41

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 23.5 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.98 / $113.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.065Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 9.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-89.9Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.47 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.76%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.28 / $110.41Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$106.83 / $111.77Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.34%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.72Range

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