US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

BABA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $102.88 and stabilize above resistance $112.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $112.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.4, MACD -0.555

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.71 (3.94%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$100.17Bearish
EMA 21$102.88Bearish
EMA 50$106.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.4 · MACD -0.555

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.71 · BB 16.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.5 · OBV -23.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$93.42 - $112.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.4% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$116.44
Nearest resistance

+19.47% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$112.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.36
Nearest support

-1% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$93.42
Deeper support zone

-4.93% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$89.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$90.65 - $98.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.17, invalidation $97.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 27.1 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.69 / $106.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.71 (3.94%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.91%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.75 / $93.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.65 / $98.07Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$112.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.555Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.84xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.17, invalidation $97.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.9 / 27.1 / 34.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.69 / $106.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.555Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 13.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.71 (3.94%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.91%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.75 / $93.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.65 / $98.07Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.84xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$112.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$93.42Range

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