US stock / ETF

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish86%
Daily Downside probability 86%Bearish

BABA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $107.92 and stabilize above resistance $120.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $120.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.7, MACD -0.691

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.21 (3.21%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.35Bearish
EMA 21$107.92Bearish
EMA 50$111.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.7 · MACD -0.691

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.21 · BB 11.07%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.4 · OBV -26.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$98.91 - $120.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.7% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$123.61
Nearest resistance

+20.48% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$120.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$99.93
Nearest support

-1.02% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.91
Deeper support zone

-4.23% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$95.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.72 - $103.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.73, invalidation $108.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 20.2 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.74 / $114.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.21 (3.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.07%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.67 / $101.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.72 / $103.14Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.691Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 8.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-244.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $112.73, invalidation $108.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 20.2 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$107.74 / $114.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.691Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.4 / 8.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-244.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.21 (3.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.07%

-16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$113.67 / $101.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.72 / $103.14Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.91Range

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