US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $443.6 and reclaim $482.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $443.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.3, MACD 0.676

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.55 (1.18%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$468.43Bullish
EMA 21$465.14Bullish
EMA 50$464.74Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.3 · MACD 0.676

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.55 · BB 6.74%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 60.9 · OBV 2.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$443.6 - $482.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.95% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$487.65
Nearest resistance

+2.77% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$482.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$469.12
Nearest support

-5.44% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.6
Deeper support zone

-6.62% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$438.05
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$463.57 - $474.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $482.1, invalidation $462.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 34.9 / 21.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$451.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$468.13 / $468.79Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.55 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.74%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$477.65 / $452.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$463.57 / $474.67Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$482.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.676Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.3 / 54.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

59.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $482.1, invalidation $462.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.2 / 34.9 / 21.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$451.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$468.13 / $468.79Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.676Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.3 / 54.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

59.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.55 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.74%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$477.65 / $452.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$463.57 / $474.67Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$482.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

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