US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursRange50%
4h Range probability 100%Range

ULTA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $503.05 - $568.44 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.3, MACD -1.286

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $7.4 (1.35%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$543.22Bullish
EMA 21$544.71Bullish
EMA 50$540.59Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.3 · MACD -1.286

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $7.4 · BB 6.48%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV 3.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$503.05 - $568.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.27% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$575.84
Nearest resistance

+3.92% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$568.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$546.99
Nearest support

-8.03% · 5.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$503.05
Deeper support zone

-9.39% · 6.9 ATR below latest close

$495.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$539.59 - $554.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $566.87, invalidation $531.56

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 12.2 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$525.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$543.9 / $535.75Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.4 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.48%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$558.69 / $530.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$539.59 / $554.39Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$503.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.9 / 35.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $566.87, invalidation $531.56

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 12.2 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$525.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$543.9 / $535.75Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.9 / 35.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.4 (1.35%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.48%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$558.69 / $530.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$539.59 / $554.39Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$503.05Range

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