US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $559.8 and reclaim $635.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $559.8 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.4, MACD 1.254

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $6.18 (0.99%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$620.93Bullish
EMA 21$608.71Bullish
EMA 50$590.22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.4 · MACD 1.254

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $6.18 · BB 9.26%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 75.1 · OBV -0.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$559.8 - $635.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.29% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$641.96
Nearest resistance

+2.3% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$635.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$621.51
Nearest support

-9.93% · 10.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$559.8
Deeper support zone

-10.92% · 11.0 ATR below latest close

$553.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$615.33 - $627.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $635.78, invalidation $605.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.7 / 49.6 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$602.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$613.3 / $587.4Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.18 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.26%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$622.89 / $596.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$615.33 / $627.69Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$635.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$559.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.254Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.7 / 81.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

97.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $635.78, invalidation $605.94

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.7 / 49.6 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$602.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$613.3 / $587.4Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.254Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

67.7 / 81.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-32.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

97.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$6.18 (0.99%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.26%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$622.89 / $596.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$615.33 / $627.69Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

75.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.16xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$635.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$559.8Range

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