US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish56%
4h Upside probability 56%Bullish

ULTA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $448.66 and reclaim $510.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $448.66 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.4, MACD 2.476

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $8.69 (1.83%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$466.83Bullish
EMA 21$468.2Bullish
EMA 50$480.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.4 · MACD 2.476

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.69 · BB 6.49%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 56.8 · OBV -3.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$448.66 - $510.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.28% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$518.9
Nearest resistance

+7.45% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$510.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$474.85
Nearest support

-5.51% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$448.66
Deeper support zone

-7.34% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$439.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$466.16 - $483.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $448.66, invalidation $481.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 29.7 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$448.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$465.04 / $487.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.69 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.49%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$485.87 / $449.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$466.16 / $483.54Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$510.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.476Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.8 / 67.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

88.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $448.66, invalidation $481.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 29.7 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$448.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$465.04 / $487.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.476Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.8 / 67.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

88.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.69 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.49%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$485.87 / $449.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$466.16 / $483.54Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$510.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

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