US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish85%
3M Upside probability 85%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $124.05 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $124.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $130.61 (24.81%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$494.67Bullish
EMA 21$435.78Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $130.61 · BB 57.76%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.6 · OBV 24.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$124.05 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+60.62% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$845.58
Nearest resistance

+35.81% · 1.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$526.44
Nearest support

-76.44% · 3.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$124.05
Deeper support zone

-101.25% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

-$6.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$395.83 - $657.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 20.0 / 17.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.06 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$130.61 (24.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.76%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$705.96 / $171.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$395.83 / $657.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.6 / 47.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

57.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 20.0 / 17.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.06 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.6 / 47.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

57.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$130.61 (24.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.76%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$705.96 / $171.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$395.83 / $657.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

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