US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish70%
3M Upside probability 70%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $188.38 and reclaim $713.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $188.38 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $128.39 (27.95%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$487.45Bearish
EMA 21$438.62Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $128.39 · BB 60.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.9 · OBV 63.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$188.38 - $713.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+83.39% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$842.32
Nearest resistance

+55.44% · 2.0 ATR above · 24-bar high

$713.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$459.31
Nearest support

-58.99% · 2.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$188.38
Deeper support zone

-86.94% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$59.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$330.92 - $587.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $713.94, invalidation $309.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$128.39 (27.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.07%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$712.59 / $177.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$330.92 / $587.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$713.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$188.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.1 / 62.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

56.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

63.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $713.94, invalidation $309.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.1 / 62.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

56.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$128.39 (27.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.07%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$712.59 / $177.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$330.92 / $587.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

63.72%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$713.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$188.38Range

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