US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish89%
3M Upside probability 89%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $124.05 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $124.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 58.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $123.27 (22.67%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$508.97Bullish
EMA 21$447.22Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 58.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $123.27 · BB 58.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.4 · OBV 43.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$124.05 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.18% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$838.24
Nearest resistance

+31.5% · 1.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$543.69
Nearest support

-77.18% · 3.4 ATR below · 30-bar low

$124.05
Deeper support zone

-99.86% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$0.7782
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$420.42 - $666.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 21.2 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$173.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$481.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$123.27 (22.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.96%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$697.14 / $203.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$420.42 / $666.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.8 / 50.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

92.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

43.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 21.2 / 15.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$173.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$481.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.8 / 50.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

92.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$123.27 (22.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.96%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$697.14 / $203.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$420.42 / $666.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

43.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Related Forecasts