US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish85%
3M Upside probability 85%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $124.05 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $124.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 58.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $133.04 (24.33%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$499.19Bullish
EMA 21$437.63Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 58.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $133.04 · BB 58.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.7 · OBV 27.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$124.05 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+55.09% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$848.01
Nearest resistance

+30.76% · 1.3 ATR above · 29-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$546.78
Nearest support

-77.31% · 3.2 ATR below · 29-bar low

$124.05
Deeper support zone

-101.64% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

-$8.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$413.74 - $679.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 19.7 / 17.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.06 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$133.04 (24.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.64%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$714.7 / $166.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$413.74 / $679.82Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.6 / 48.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 19.7 / 17.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$95.73Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.06 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.6 / 48.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$133.04 (24.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.64%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$714.7 / $166.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$413.74 / $679.82Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

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