US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish86%
3M Upside probability 86%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $124.05 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $124.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $129.36 (20.81%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$526.27Bullish
EMA 21$454.3Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.5 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $129.36 · BB 63.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.8 · OBV 45.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$124.05 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.85% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$844.33
Nearest resistance

+15.04% · 0.7 ATR above · 30-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$621.51
Nearest support

-80.04% · 3.8 ATR below · 30-bar low

$124.05
Deeper support zone

-100.86% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

-$5.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$492.15 - $750.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 24.0 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$481.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$129.36 (20.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.69%

100%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$721.61 / $194.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$492.15 / $750.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.0 / 56.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

144.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

45.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 24.0 / 14.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$481.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.0 / 56.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

144.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$129.36 (20.81%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.69%

100%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$721.61 / $194.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$492.15 / $750.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

45.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.12xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

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