US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish82%
3M Upside probability 82%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $124.05 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $124.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $131.99 (20.28%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$532.81Bullish
EMA 21$456.98Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $131.99 · BB 66.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.3 · OBV 47.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$124.05 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.11% · 1.5 ATR above latest close

$846.96
Nearest resistance

+9.83% · 0.5 ATR above · 30-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$650.97
Nearest support

-80.94% · 4.0 ATR below · 30-bar low

$124.05
Deeper support zone

-101.22% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

-$7.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$518.98 - $782.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 25.5 / 14.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$481.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$131.99 (20.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.17%

107%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$731.78 / $189.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$518.98 / $782.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.2 / 59.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

164.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

47.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 25.5 / 14.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$481.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.2 / 59.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

164.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$131.99 (20.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.17%

107%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$731.78 / $189.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$518.98 / $782.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

47.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

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