US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish71%
3M Upside probability 71%Bullish

ULTA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $124.05 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $124.05 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $126.78 (27.03%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$481.93Bearish
EMA 21$430.57Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $126.78 · BB 56.60%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.6 · OBV 22.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$124.05 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.43% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$841.75
Nearest resistance

+52.41% · 1.9 ATR above · 29-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$469.12
Nearest support

-73.56% · 2.7 ATR below · 29-bar low

$124.05
Deeper support zone

-100.58% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

-$2.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$342.34 - $595.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 20.6 / 18.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.06 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$126.78 (27.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 56.60%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$689.78 / $176.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$342.34 / $595.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 42.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

15.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.0 / 20.6 / 18.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$473.06 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.4 / 42.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

15.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$126.78 (27.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 56.60%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$689.78 / $176.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$342.34 / $595.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$124.05Range

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