US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish85%
Daily Downside probability 85%Bearish

ORLY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $87.94 and stabilize above resistance $94.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $94.12 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -0.359

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.49 (1.74%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$86.57Bearish
EMA 21$87.94Bearish
EMA 50$88.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -0.359

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.49 · BB 7.96%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV -1.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$84.65 - $94.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.41% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$95.61
Nearest resistance

+9.67% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$94.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.82
Nearest support

-1.36% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.65
Deeper support zone

-3.1% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$83.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.33 - $87.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.4, invalidation $89.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.7 / 5.6 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.13 / $88.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.49 (1.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.96%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.9 / $84.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.33 / $87.31Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.359Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 14.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.4, invalidation $89.23

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.7 / 5.6 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.13 / $88.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.359Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.3 / 14.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-112.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.49 (1.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.96%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.9 / $84.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.33 / $87.31Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.65Range

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