US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish58%
Daily Downside probability 58%Bearish

ORLY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.31 and stabilize above resistance $94.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $94.12 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.9, MACD -0.446

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.91 (2.14%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$90.15Bearish
EMA 21$90.31Bearish
EMA 50$89.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD -0.446

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.91 · BB 7.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.0 · OBV -0.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$82.59 - $94.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.77% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$96.03
Nearest resistance

+5.62% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$94.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-7.32% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.59
Deeper support zone

-9.46% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$80.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.2 - $91.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.19, invalidation $92.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 19.1 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.1 / $88.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.91 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.36%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$94.43 / $86.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.2 / $91.02Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.446Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 27.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.19, invalidation $92.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 19.1 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.1 / $88.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.446Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 27.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.91 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.36%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$94.43 / $86.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.2 / $91.02Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

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