US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish76%
Daily Downside probability 76%Bearish

ORLY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $86.01 and stabilize above resistance $92.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.1, MACD 0.076

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.57 (1.85%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$85.34Bearish
EMA 21$86.01Bearish
EMA 50$87.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.1 · MACD 0.076

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.57 · BB 3.75%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.8 · OBV -3.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$83.44 - $92.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.12% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$94.34
Nearest resistance

+9.27% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.9
Nearest support

-1.72% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.44
Deeper support zone

-3.57% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$81.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.33 - $86.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.76, invalidation $83.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 16.9 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$80.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.01 / $88.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.57 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.75%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.14 / $82.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.33 / $86.47Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.076Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.4 / 37.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.76, invalidation $83.9

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 16.9 / 14.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$80.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.01 / $88.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.076Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.4 / 37.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-59.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.57 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.75%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.14 / $82.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.33 / $86.47Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.83%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.44Range

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