US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish81%
Daily Downside probability 81%Bearish

ORLY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $88.02 and stabilize above resistance $93.52.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.52 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -0.243

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.46 (2.87%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$86.97Bearish
EMA 21$88.02Bearish
EMA 50$89.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -0.243

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.46 · BB 10.07%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV 0.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$83.8 - $93.52

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.93% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$95.98
Nearest resistance

+9.06% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.52
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.75
Nearest support

-2.27% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.8
Deeper support zone

-5.15% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$81.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.29 - $88.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.52, invalidation $83.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 24.4 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$79.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.66 / $92.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.46 (2.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.07%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92.95 / $82.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.29 / $88.21Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.243Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 29.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.52, invalidation $83.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.4 / 24.4 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$79.14Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.66 / $92.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.243Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 29.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.46 (2.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.07%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92.95 / $82.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.29 / $88.21Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.52Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.8Range

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