US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish70%
Daily Downside probability 70%Bearish

ORLY 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $89.13 and stabilize above resistance $95.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $95.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.3, MACD -0.154

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.14 (2.45%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$88.16Bearish
EMA 21$89.13Bearish
EMA 50$90.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.3 · MACD -0.154

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.14 · BB 7.15%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.7 · OBV 0.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$85.41 - $95.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.64% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$97.71
Nearest resistance

+9.2% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$95.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$87.52
Nearest support

-2.41% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$85.41
Deeper support zone

-4.86% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$83.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$85.38 - $89.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $88.52

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 26.3 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$80.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.19 / $93.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.14 (2.45%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$93.45 / $84.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.38 / $89.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$95.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.154Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.6 / 20.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $88.52

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 26.3 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$80.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.19 / $93.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.154Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.6 / 20.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.14 (2.45%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$93.45 / $84.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.38 / $89.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$95.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.41Range

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