US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish55%
1h Downside probability 55%Bearish

ULTA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $542.87 and stabilize above resistance $556.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $556.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.7, MACD 0.787

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.02 (0.56%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$542.86Bullish
EMA 21$542.87Bullish
EMA 50$544.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD 0.787

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.02 · BB 2.45%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 53.6 · OBV -0.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$535.25 - $556.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.96% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$559.8
Nearest resistance

+2.41% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$556.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$543.69
Nearest support

-1.55% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$535.25
Deeper support zone

-2.11% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$532.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$540.67 - $546.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $537.15, invalidation $545.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 28.2 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$535.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$543.03 / $545.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.02 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.45%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$548.46 / $537.13Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$540.67 / $546.71Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$556.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$535.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.787Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.3 / 82.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

41.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $537.15, invalidation $545.06

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.1 / 28.2 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$535.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$543.03 / $545.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.787Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.3 / 82.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

41.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.02 (0.56%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.45%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$548.46 / $537.13Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$540.67 / $546.71Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$556.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$535.25Range

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