US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourRange53%
1h Range probability 94%Range

ULTA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $649.19 - $672.7 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -0.833

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.34 (0.51%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$653.06Bearish
EMA 21$655.37Bearish
EMA 50$654.54Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -0.833

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.34 · BB 2.62%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 71.4 · OBV 6.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$649.19 - $672.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.85% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$676.04
Nearest resistance

+3.34% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$672.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$650.97
Nearest support

-0.27% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$649.19
Deeper support zone

-0.79% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$645.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$647.63 - $654.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $660.97, invalidation $650.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 30.8 / 29.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$640.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$656.59 / $655.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.34 (0.51%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.62%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$662.02 / $648.55Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$647.63 / $654.31Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$672.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$649.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.833Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.1 / 14.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $660.97, invalidation $650.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 30.8 / 29.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$640.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$656.59 / $655.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.833Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.1 / 14.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.34 (0.51%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.62%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$662.02 / $648.55Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$647.63 / $654.31Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$672.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$649.19Range

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