US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBullish65%
1h Upside probability 65%Bullish

ULTA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $593.51 and reclaim $635.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $593.51 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 54.2, MACD -0.845

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.5 (0.88%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$626.7Bearish
EMA 21$620.99Bullish
EMA 50$609.72Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.2 · MACD -0.845

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.5 · BB 7.74%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.9 · OBV 1.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$593.51 - $635.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.18% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$641.28
Nearest resistance

+2.3% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$635.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$621.51
Nearest support

-4.5% · 5.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$593.51
Deeper support zone

-5.39% · 6.1 ATR below latest close

$588.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$616.01 - $627.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $635.51, invalidation $605.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.5 / 43.6 / 20.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$607.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$622.58 / $612.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.5 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.74%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$631.17 / $611.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$616.01 / $627.01Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$635.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$593.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.845Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.2 / 60.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $635.51, invalidation $605.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.5 / 43.6 / 20.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$607.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$622.58 / $612.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.845Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.2 / 60.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

12.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.5 (0.88%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.74%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$631.17 / $611.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$616.01 / $627.01Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$635.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$593.51Range

Related Forecasts