US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBullish81%
1h Upside probability 81%Bullish

ULTA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $448.66 and reclaim $480.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $448.66 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.3, MACD 1.480

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.15 (0.87%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$473.2Bullish
EMA 21$468.25Bullish
EMA 50$466.83Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.3 · MACD 1.480

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.15 · BB 5.75%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.8 · OBV -5.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$448.66 - $480.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.1% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$484.83
Nearest resistance

+1.23% · 1.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$480.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$474.85
Nearest support

-5.51% · 6.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$448.66
Deeper support zone

-6.39% · 7.3 ATR below latest close

$444.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$470.7 - $478.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $458.94, invalidation $477.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 41.4 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$464.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$468.38 / $464.67Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.15 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.75%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$476.42 / $460.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$470.7 / $478.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$480.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.480Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.2 / 77.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

101.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $458.94, invalidation $477.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 41.4 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$464.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$468.38 / $464.67Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.480Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.2 / 77.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

101.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.15 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.75%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$476.42 / $460.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$470.7 / $478.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$480.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

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