US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourRange51%
1h Range probability 98%Range

ULTA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $455.95 - $482.1 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.7, MACD -1.036

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.75 (0.59%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$467.8Bullish
EMA 21$468.32Bullish
EMA 50$465.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.7 · MACD -1.036

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.75 · BB 4.30%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 43.3 · OBV 0.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$455.95 - $482.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.35% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$484.85
Nearest resistance

+2.77% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$482.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$469.12
Nearest support

-2.81% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$455.95
Deeper support zone

-3.4% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$453.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$466.37 - $471.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $477, invalidation $462.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 17.2 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$461.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$470.93 / $464.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.75 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.30%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$473.89 / $462.88Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$466.37 / $471.87Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$482.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$455.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.036Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.1 / 29.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.31%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $477, invalidation $462.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 17.2 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$461.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$470.93 / $464.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.036Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.1 / 29.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.75 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.30%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$473.89 / $462.88Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$466.37 / $471.87Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.31%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$482.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$455.95Range

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