US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish89%
Weekly Upside probability 89%Bullish

ULTA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $443.6 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $443.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.0, MACD 7.918

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.89 (6.97%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$536.3Bullish
EMA 21$527.67Bullish
EMA 50$526.94Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.0 · MACD 7.918

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $37.89 · BB 27.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.4 · OBV -10.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$443.6 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.47% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$752.86
Nearest resistance

+31.5% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$543.69
Nearest support

-18.41% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.6
Deeper support zone

-25.38% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$405.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$505.8 - $581.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.44, invalidation $496.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 25.0 / 7.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$424.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$521.86 / $579.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.89 (6.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.25%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$608.32 / $446.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$505.8 / $581.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.918Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.2 / 79.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.44, invalidation $496.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 25.0 / 7.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$424.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$521.86 / $579.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

7.918Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.2 / 79.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.89 (6.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.25%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$608.32 / $446.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$505.8 / $581.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

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