US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish76%
Weekly Upside probability 76%Bullish

ULTA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $443.6 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $443.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.6, MACD 9.853

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $38.81 (7.1%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$528.21Bullish
EMA 21$522.48Bullish
EMA 50$524.85Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.6 · MACD 9.853

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $38.81 · BB 25.60%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.1 · OBV -10.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$443.6 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.86% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$753.78
Nearest resistance

+30.76% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$546.78
Nearest support

-18.87% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.6
Deeper support zone

-25.97% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$404.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$507.97 - $585.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $566.73, invalidation $496.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.1 / 25.2 / 8.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$425.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$512.94 / $579.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.81 (7.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.60%

83%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$603.76 / $440.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$507.97 / $585.59Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

9.853Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.6 / 79.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

111.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $566.73, invalidation $496.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.1 / 25.2 / 8.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$425.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$512.94 / $579.28Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

9.853Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.6 / 79.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

111.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$38.81 (7.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.60%

83%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$603.76 / $440.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$507.97 / $585.59Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

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