US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish92%
Weekly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $443.6 and reclaim $682.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $443.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.7, MACD 12.556

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $39.79 (6.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$569.61Bullish
EMA 21$544.81Bullish
EMA 50$534.71Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.7 · MACD 12.556

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $39.79 · BB 35.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.7 · OBV 3.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$443.6 - $682.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.22% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$722.3
Nearest resistance

+9.81% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$682.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$621.51
Nearest support

-28.63% · 4.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.6
Deeper support zone

-35.03% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

$403.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$581.72 - $661.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.44, invalidation $496.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 34.0 / 5.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$498.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$555.29 / $579.28Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.79 (6.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.07%

104%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$621.55 / $469.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$581.72 / $661.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$682.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

12.556Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.5 / 91.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

171.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.44, invalidation $496.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 34.0 / 5.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$498.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$555.29 / $579.28Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

92%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

12.556Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.5 / 91.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

171.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$39.79 (6.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.07%

104%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$621.55 / $469.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$581.72 / $661.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.09%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$682.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

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