US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

ULTA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $525 and stabilize above resistance $713.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $713.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.3, MACD -12.139

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.4 (6.84%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$485.05Bearish
EMA 21$525Bearish
EMA 50$529.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.3 · MACD -12.139

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $31.4 · BB 52.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.4 · OBV -19.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$448.66 - $713.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.27% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$745.34
Nearest resistance

+55.44% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$713.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$459.31
Nearest support

-2.32% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$448.66
Deeper support zone

-9.16% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$417.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$427.91 - $490.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $499.75, invalidation $526.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.8 / 11.6 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$374.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$542.35 / $581.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.4 (6.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.87%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$582.92 / $463.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$427.91 / $490.71Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$713.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.139Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 6.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $499.75, invalidation $526.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.8 / 11.6 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$374.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$542.35 / $581.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.139Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 6.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.4 (6.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.87%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$582.92 / $463.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$427.91 / $490.71Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$713.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

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