US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish89%
Daily Downside probability 89%Bearish

PHM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.18 and stabilize above resistance $136.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $136.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -1.050

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.91 (2.46%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$120.54Bearish
EMA 21$124.18Bearish
EMA 50$125.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -1.050

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.91 · BB 14.45%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.9 · OBV -3.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$114.78 - $136.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.65% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$139.13
Nearest resistance

+15.19% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$136.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$118.26
Nearest support

-2.94% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.78
Deeper support zone

-5.41% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$111.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.35 - $121.17

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $126.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 10.0 / 44.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.46 / $126.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.91 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.45%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.77 / $118.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.35 / $121.17Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.050Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.7 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $126.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 10.0 / 44.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.46 / $126.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.050Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.7 / 16.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.91 (2.46%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.45%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.77 / $118.23Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.35 / $121.17Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.45%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.78Range

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