US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

PHM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $119.23 and stabilize above resistance $133.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $133.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -0.014

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.14 (2.72%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.05Bearish
EMA 21$119.23Bearish
EMA 50$122.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -0.014

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.14 · BB 6.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.7 · OBV -8.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$112.52 - $133.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.91% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$136.46
Nearest resistance

+15.2% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$133.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.73
Nearest support

-2.77% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$112.52
Deeper support zone

-5.49% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$109.38
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$112.59 - $118.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.68, invalidation $112.52

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 21.3 / 21.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.83 / $124.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.14 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.10%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.79 / $112.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.59 / $118.87Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$133.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.6 / 33.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.68, invalidation $112.52

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.2 / 21.3 / 21.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.83 / $124.37Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.014Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.6 / 33.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-101.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.14 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.10%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.79 / $112.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$112.59 / $118.87Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$133.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.52Range

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