US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish60%
Daily Downside probability 60%Bearish

PHM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $127.28 and stabilize above resistance $140.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.2, MACD -1.403

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.02 (3.23%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$126.89Bearish
EMA 21$127.28Bearish
EMA 50$124.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.2 · MACD -1.403

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.02 · BB 17.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 56.8 · OBV 11.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$115 - $140.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.7% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$144.11
Nearest resistance

+12.47% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$124.56
Nearest support

-7.68% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115
Deeper support zone

-10.91% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$110.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$120.54 - $128.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $138.23, invalidation $121.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.0 / 26.8 / 32.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.23 / $124.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.02 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.10%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.05 / $120.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$120.54 / $128.58Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.403Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.4 / 14.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $138.23, invalidation $121.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.0 / 26.8 / 32.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.23 / $124.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.403Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.4 / 14.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.02 (3.23%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.10%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.05 / $120.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$120.54 / $128.58Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115Range

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