US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish65%
Daily Downside probability 65%Bearish

PHM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $129.34 and stabilize above resistance $136.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $136.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -0.366

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.51 (2.72%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$129.1Bearish
EMA 21$129.34Bearish
EMA 50$128Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -0.366

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.51 · BB 6.71%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 55.3 · OBV -2.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$121.77 - $136.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.31% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$139.73
Nearest resistance

+5.6% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$136.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$129
Nearest support

-5.6% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.77
Deeper support zone

-8.32% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$118.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.49 - $132.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $125.98, invalidation $133.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 13.4 / 20.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.32 / $129.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.51 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.71%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.16 / $122.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.49 / $132.51Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.366Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.3 / 32.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $125.98, invalidation $133.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 13.4 / 20.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.32 / $129.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.366Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.3 / 32.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-61.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.51 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.71%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.16 / $122.55Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.49 / $132.51Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.77Range

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