US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish70%
12h Downside probability 70%Bearish

ULTA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $545.44 and stabilize above resistance $568.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $568.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.6, MACD -1.407

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.99 (2.21%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$545.43Bearish
EMA 21$545.44Bearish
EMA 50$537.83Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD -1.407

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.99 · BB 5.50%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.8 · OBV -7.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$516.06 - $568.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.76% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$580.43
Nearest resistance

+4.55% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$568.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$543.69
Nearest support

-5.08% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$516.06
Deeper support zone

-7.29% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$504.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$531.7 - $555.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $556.78, invalidation $534.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 16.6 / 17.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$506.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$547.84 / $530.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.99 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.50%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$569.48 / $521.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$531.7 / $555.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$516.06Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.407Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.1 / 37.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $556.78, invalidation $534.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.8 / 16.6 / 17.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$506.52Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$547.84 / $530.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.407Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.1 / 37.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.99 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.50%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$569.48 / $521.67Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$531.7 / $555.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$516.06Range

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