US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish69%
12h Downside probability 69%Bearish

ULTA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $476.38 and stabilize above resistance $539.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $539.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.9, MACD 1.382

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $13.6 (2.86%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$465.97Bullish
EMA 21$476.38Bearish
EMA 50$502.37Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD 1.382

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $13.6 · BB 15.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.2 · OBV -94.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$448.66 - $539.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.48% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$553.08
Nearest resistance

+13.61% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$539.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$474.85
Nearest support

-5.51% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$448.66
Deeper support zone

-8.38% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$435.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$461.24 - $488.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $448.66, invalidation $482.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.1 / 18.1 / 14.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$432.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$476.46 / $512.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.6 (2.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.91%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$502.3 / $448.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$461.24 / $488.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$539.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.382Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.2 / 46.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-94.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $448.66, invalidation $482.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.1 / 18.1 / 14.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$432.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$476.46 / $512.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.382Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.2 / 46.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.6 (2.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.91%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$502.3 / $448.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$461.24 / $488.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-94.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$539.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

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