US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish76%
12h Upside probability 76%Bullish

ULTA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $443.6 and reclaim $493.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $443.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.1, MACD 2.301

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $9.89 (2.11%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$465.65Bullish
EMA 21$464.81Bullish
EMA 50$474.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.1 · MACD 2.301

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $9.89 · BB 10.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.4 · OBV 12.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$443.6 - $493.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.41% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$503.87
Nearest resistance

+5.3% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$493.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$469.12
Nearest support

-5.44% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.6
Deeper support zone

-7.55% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$433.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$459.23 - $479.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $446, invalidation $461.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 27.2 / 22.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$440.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$466.42 / $492.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$9.89 (2.11%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.43%

59%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$483.82 / $445.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$459.23 / $479.01Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$493.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.301Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.3 / 66.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $446, invalidation $461.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.0 / 27.2 / 22.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$440.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$466.42 / $492.06Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.301Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.3 / 66.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

29.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$9.89 (2.11%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.43%

59%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$483.82 / $445.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$459.23 / $479.01Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$493.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

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