US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.01 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.1, MACD 6.131

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $80.45 (12.36%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$575.78Bullish
EMA 21$534.19Bullish
EMA 50$471.98Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.1 · MACD 6.131

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $80.45 · BB 53.30%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.0 · OBV 39.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.01 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.19% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$795.42
Nearest resistance

+9.83% · 0.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$650.97
Nearest support

-52.53% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.01
Deeper support zone

-64.89% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$228.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$570.52 - $731.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 31.1 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$401.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$537.52 / $511.99Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$80.45 (12.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.30%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$701.31 / $372.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$570.52 / $731.42Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.131Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.4 / 62.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.6Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

138.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 31.1 / 19.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$401.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$537.52 / $511.99Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.131Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.4 / 62.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.6Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

138.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$80.45 (12.36%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.30%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$701.31 / $372.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$570.52 / $731.42Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

39.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

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