US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.01 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.2, MACD 0.310

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $80.1 (12.89%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$550.09Bullish
EMA 21$520.79Bullish
EMA 50$463.93Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.2 · MACD 0.310

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $80.1 · BB 57.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.9 · OBV 60.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.01 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.93% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$795.07
Nearest resistance

+15.04% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$621.51
Nearest support

-50.28% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.01
Deeper support zone

-63.17% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$228.91
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$541.41 - $701.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 29.4 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$333.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$80.1 (12.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.25%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$690.99 / $354.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$541.41 / $701.61Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.310Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.6 / 44.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

60.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 29.4 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$333.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.310Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.6 / 44.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$80.1 (12.89%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.25%

82%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$690.99 / $354.89Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$541.41 / $701.61Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

60.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

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