US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish57%
Monthly Upside probability 57%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.29 and reclaim $713.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.29 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.0, MACD -5.271

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $74.3 (16.18%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$528.88Bearish
EMA 21$504.93Bearish
EMA 50$454.38Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD -5.271

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $74.3 · BB 69.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.3 · OBV 17.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.29 - $713.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+71.61% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$788.24
Nearest resistance

+55.44% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$713.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$459.31
Nearest support

-32.66% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.29
Deeper support zone

-48.84% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$234.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$385.01 - $533.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $713.94, invalidation $309.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 34.0 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$236.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$546.45 / $511.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$74.3 (16.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.55%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$669.13 / $345.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$385.01 / $533.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$713.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.271Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.1 / 42.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $713.94, invalidation $309.29

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 34.0 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$236.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$546.45 / $511.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.271Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.1 / 42.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$74.3 (16.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.55%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$669.13 / $345.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$385.01 / $533.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$713.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.29Range

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