US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.01 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.5, MACD -5.304

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $76.07 (13.91%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$529.82Bullish
EMA 21$510.77Bullish
EMA 50$457.52Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.5 · MACD -5.304

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $76.07 · BB 61.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.7 · OBV 98.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.01 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.67% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$791.04
Nearest resistance

+30.76% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$546.78
Nearest support

-43.49% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.01
Deeper support zone

-57.4% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$232.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$470.71 - $622.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 25.9 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$301.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$76.07 (13.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.77%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$677.3 / $347.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$470.71 / $622.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.0 / 31.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

43.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

98.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 25.9 / 20.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$301.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.304Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

38.0 / 31.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

43.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$76.07 (13.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 61.77%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$677.3 / $347.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$470.71 / $622.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

98.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.29xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

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