US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish64%
Monthly Upside probability 64%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.01 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -9.767

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $71.69 (15.28%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$514.12Bearish
EMA 21$501.01Bearish
EMA 50$449.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -9.767

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $71.69 · BB 66.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.0 · OBV 22.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.01 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.69% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$786.66
Nearest resistance

+52.41% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$469.12
Nearest support

-34.13% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.01
Deeper support zone

-49.41% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$237.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$397.43 - $540.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $309.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.3 / 25.9 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$71.69 (15.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.48%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$663.44 / $342.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$397.43 / $540.81Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.767Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.4 / 25.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $309.01

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.3 / 25.9 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$221.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.767Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.4 / 25.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$71.69 (15.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 66.48%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$663.44 / $342.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$397.43 / $540.81Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

22.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

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