US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.01 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.1, MACD -4.656

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $74.01 (13.61%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$532.8Bullish
EMA 21$513.71Bullish
EMA 50$460.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.1 · MACD -4.656

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $74.01 · BB 55.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.1 · OBV 53.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.01 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+45.12% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$788.98
Nearest resistance

+31.5% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$543.69
Nearest support

-43.16% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.01
Deeper support zone

-56.78% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$235
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$469.68 - $617.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 25.2 / 21.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$316.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$74.01 (13.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.21%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$666.52 / $364.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$469.68 / $617.7Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.656Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.9 / 35.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

31.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

53.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 25.2 / 21.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$316.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.656Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.9 / 35.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

31.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$74.01 (13.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 55.21%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$666.52 / $364.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$469.68 / $617.7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

53.75%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

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