US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $309.01 and reclaim $714.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $309.01 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.7, MACD -6.848

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $73.74 (14.01%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$524.41Bullish
EMA 21$506.94Bullish
EMA 50$453.78Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.7 · MACD -6.848

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $73.74 · BB 64.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 59.2 · OBV 47.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$309.01 - $714.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.82% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$788.71
Nearest resistance

+35.81% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$714.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$526.44
Nearest support

-41.3% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$309.01
Deeper support zone

-55.31% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$235.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$452.7 - $600.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 27.5 / 21.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$288.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$73.74 (14.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.48%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$666.23 / $351.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$452.7 / $600.18Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.848Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.5 / 25.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

24.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

47.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.97, invalidation $443.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.3 / 27.5 / 21.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$288.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$545.64 / $511.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

54%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.848Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.5 / 25.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

24.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$73.74 (14.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.48%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$666.23 / $351.34Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$452.7 / $600.18Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

47.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$714.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$309.01Range

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