US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBullish72%
Daily Upside probability 72%Bullish

ULTA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $443.6 and reclaim $527.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $443.6 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.0, MACD 2.960

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $14.33 (3.05%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$465.98Bullish
EMA 21$468.02Bullish
EMA 50$487.05Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD 2.960

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $14.33 · BB 9.64%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 70.9 · OBV 19.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$443.6 - $527

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.39% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$541.33
Nearest resistance

+12.34% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$527
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$469.12
Nearest support

-5.44% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$443.6
Deeper support zone

-8.49% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$429.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$454.79 - $483.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $493.98, invalidation $445

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 28.9 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$432.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$465.85 / $493.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$14.33 (3.05%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.64%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$492.37 / $442.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$454.79 / $483.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$527Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.960Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 57.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $493.98, invalidation $445

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.6 / 28.9 / 29.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$432.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$465.85 / $493.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.960Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 57.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$14.33 (3.05%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.64%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$492.37 / $442.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$454.79 / $483.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$527Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$443.6Range

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