US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish90%
Daily Downside probability 90%Bearish

ULTA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $476.4 and stabilize above resistance $539.48.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $539.48 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 39.1, MACD 0.026

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $14.38 (3.13%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$463.16Bearish
EMA 21$476.4Bearish
EMA 50$503.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD 0.026

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $14.38 · BB 17.46%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.6 · OBV -40.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$448.66 - $539.48

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.59% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$553.86
Nearest resistance

+17.45% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$539.48
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$459.31
Nearest support

-2.32% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$448.66
Deeper support zone

-5.45% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$434.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$444.93 - $473.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $448.66, invalidation $482.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 9.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$425.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$476.56 / $512.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$14.38 (3.13%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.46%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$501.15 / $449.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$444.93 / $473.69Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$539.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.026Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.8 / 23.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-40.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $448.66, invalidation $482.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 9.2 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$425.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$476.56 / $512.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.026Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.8 / 23.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-66.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$14.38 (3.13%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.46%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$501.15 / $449.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$444.93 / $473.69Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-40.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$539.48Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$448.66Range

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