US stock / ETF

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

ULTA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBullish92%
Daily Upside probability 92%Bullish

ULTA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $486.26 and reclaim $568.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $486.26 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.5, MACD -0.929

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $17.26 (3.16%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$545.39Bullish
EMA 21$537.99Bullish
EMA 50$523.39Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.5 · MACD -0.929

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $17.26 · BB 11.51%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV 6.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$486.26 - $568.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.12% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$585.7
Nearest resistance

+3.96% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$568.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$546.78
Nearest support

-11.07% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$486.26
Deeper support zone

-14.23% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$469
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$529.52 - $564.04

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.44, invalidation $530.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 21.0 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$492.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$540.37 / $506.72Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.26 (3.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.51%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$569.93 / $507.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$529.52 / $564.04Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$486.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.929Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.9 / 61.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

34.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $568.44, invalidation $530.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 21.0 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$492.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$540.37 / $506.72Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.929Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

66.9 / 61.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-33.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

34.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$17.26 (3.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.51%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$569.93 / $507.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$529.52 / $564.04Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$568.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$486.26Range

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