US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

SMCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $28.74 and stabilize above resistance $34.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $34.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.1, MACD -0.052

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.19 (4.4%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$28.27Bearish
EMA 21$28.74Bearish
EMA 50$30.04Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD -0.052

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.19 · BB 11.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.7 · OBV -29.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$25.9 - $34.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.99% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$35.51
Nearest resistance

+26.6% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$34.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.11
Nearest support

-4.46% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.9
Deeper support zone

-8.86% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$24.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.92 - $28.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.13, invalidation $27.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.3 / 18.2 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.72 / $30.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.19 (4.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.36%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31.25 / $26.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.92 / $28.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.052Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 23.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-155.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.13, invalidation $27.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.3 / 18.2 / 33.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.72 / $30.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.052Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.2 / 23.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-155.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.19 (4.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.36%

2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$31.25 / $26.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.92 / $28.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$34.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.9Range

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