US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish60%
4h Downside probability 60%Bearish

SMCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $33.15 and stabilize above resistance $47.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $47.84 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.3, MACD 0.654

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.76 (5.45%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$32.91Bearish
EMA 21$33.15Bearish
EMA 50$34.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD 0.654

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.76 · BB 29.84%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.9 · OBV -5.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$27.72 - $47.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.03% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$49.6
Nearest resistance

+48.57% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$47.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.2
Nearest support

-13.91% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.72
Deeper support zone

-19.37% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$25.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.44 - $33.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.8, invalidation $27.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.0 / 36.6 / 31.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.36 / $39.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.76 (5.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.84%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.87 / $29.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.44 / $33.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$47.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.654Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 56.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

26.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.8, invalidation $27.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.0 / 36.6 / 31.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$26.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.36 / $39.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.654Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 56.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

26.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.76 (5.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.84%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.87 / $29.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.44 / $33.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$47.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.72Range

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