US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish79%
4h Upside probability 79%Bullish

SMCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $35.63 and reclaim $41.53.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $35.63 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.3, MACD 0.006

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.9667 (2.41%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$39.1Bullish
EMA 21$38.81Bullish
EMA 50$38.11Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.3 · MACD 0.006

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.9667 · BB 9.90%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.0 · OBV 31.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$35.63 - $41.53

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.16% · 2.6 ATR above latest close

$42.5
Nearest resistance

+3.75% · 1.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$41.53
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$40.03
Nearest support

-10.99% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$35.63
Deeper support zone

-13.41% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$34.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$39.06 - $41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $37.07, invalidation $39.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 20.2 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.62 / $38.41Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.9667 (2.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.90%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$40.82 / $36.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$39.06 / $41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$41.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.006Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.1 / 63.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

71.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

31.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $37.07, invalidation $39.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 20.2 / 26.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$37.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.62 / $38.41Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

66%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.006Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

74.1 / 63.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-25.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

71.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.9667 (2.41%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.90%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$40.82 / $36.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$39.06 / $41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

31.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$41.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.63Range

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