US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

SMCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $34.3 and stabilize above resistance $39.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $39.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD 0.135

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.52 (4.62%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$33.77Bearish
EMA 21$34.3Bearish
EMA 50$36.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD 0.135

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.52 · BB 18.74%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.7 · OBV -8.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$31.05 - $39.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.65% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$40.99
Nearest resistance

+20.02% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$39.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.89
Nearest support

-5.58% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$31.05
Deeper support zone

-10.2% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$29.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$31.37 - $34.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $34.8, invalidation $33.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.8 / 32.6 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$30.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$34.43 / $38.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.52 (4.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.74%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.5 / $31.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.37 / $34.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$39.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$31.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.135Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 36.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $34.8, invalidation $33.04

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.8 / 32.6 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$30.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$34.43 / $38.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.135Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 36.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.52 (4.62%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.74%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.5 / $31.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.37 / $34.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$39.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$31.05Range

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