US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish55%
4h Downside probability 55%Bearish

SMCI 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $27.86 and stabilize above resistance $29.18.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $29.18 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.7, MACD 0.014

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5932 (2.14%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$27.76Bearish
EMA 21$27.86Bearish
EMA 50$28.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.7 · MACD 0.014

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5932 · BB 10.61%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.8 · OBV 7.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$25.55 - $29.18

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.63% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$29.77
Nearest resistance

+5.49% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$29.18
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.66
Nearest support

-7.63% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.55
Deeper support zone

-9.78% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$24.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.07 - $28.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.4, invalidation $27.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 18.5 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.61 / $29.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5932 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.04 / $26.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.07 / $28.26Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.014Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 25.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $28.4, invalidation $27.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.5 / 18.5 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$27.61 / $29.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.014Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 25.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5932 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.61%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.04 / $26.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.07 / $28.26Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$29.18Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.55Range

Related Forecasts