US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish78%
Monthly Upside probability 78%Bullish

SMCI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $17.25 and reclaim $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $17.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.2, MACD 0.402

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.83 (27.09%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$37.17Bullish
EMA 21$37.51Bullish
EMA 50$33.32Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.2 · MACD 0.402

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $11.83 · BB 98.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV 81.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$17.25 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+208.39% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$134.73
Nearest resistance

+181.3% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$43.69
Nearest support

-60.52% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.25
Deeper support zone

-87.6% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$5.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$31.86 - $55.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 27.2 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.64 / $63.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.83 (27.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.91%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$60.77 / $14.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.86 / $55.52Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.402Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.6 / 52.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

45.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

81.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 27.2 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$7.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.64 / $63.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.402Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.6 / 52.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

45.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.83 (27.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.91%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$60.77 / $14.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.86 / $55.52Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

81.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

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