US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

SMCI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $36.53 and stabilize above resistance $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.2, MACD -0.288

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.58 (38.24%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$34.77Bearish
EMA 21$36.53Bearish
EMA 50$32.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD -0.288

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.58 · BB 99.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV 41.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$17.25 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+311.97% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$135.48
Nearest resistance

+273.73% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.89
Nearest support

-47.54% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.25
Deeper support zone

-85.79% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$4.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.31 - $45.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 25.1 / 22.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.2928Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.64 / $63.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.58 (38.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 99.87%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$61.82 / $11.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.31 / $45.46Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.1 / 42.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

41.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 25.1 / 22.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.2928Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.64 / $63.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.1 / 42.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.58 (38.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 99.87%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$61.82 / $11.08Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.31 / $45.46Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

41.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

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