US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

SMCI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $37.6 and stabilize above resistance $122.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.83 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -1.235

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.63 (40.92%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$34.87Bearish
EMA 21$37.6Bearish
EMA 50$29.65Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -1.235

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.63 · BB 100.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.0 · OBV -46.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$17.25 - $122.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+309.66% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$136.46
Nearest resistance

+268.75% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$33.31
Nearest support

-48.21% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.25
Deeper support zone

-89.13% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$3.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$19.68 - $46.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.48, invalidation $62.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 30.1 / 18.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.9820Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$49.2 / $63.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.63 (40.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 100.15%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$63.24 / $11.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.68 / $46.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.235Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 37.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.79xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $19.48, invalidation $62.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 30.1 / 18.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$0.9820Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$49.2 / $63.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.235Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.3 / 37.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.63 (40.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 100.15%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$63.24 / $11.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$19.68 / $46.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.25%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.79xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

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