US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish67%
Monthly Downside probability 67%Bearish

SMCI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $35.67 and stabilize above resistance $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.6, MACD -0.675

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.49 (46.29%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$33.05Bearish
EMA 21$35.67Bearish
EMA 50$32.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.6 · MACD -0.675

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.49 · BB 103.52%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.1 · OBV 165.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$17.25 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+401.64% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$135.39
Nearest resistance

+355.35% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$26.99
Nearest support

-36.09% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.25
Deeper support zone

-82.37% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$4.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$14.5 - $39.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 25.3 / 24.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$9.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.64 / $63.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.49 (46.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 103.52%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$61.3 / $9.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.5 / $39.48Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.675Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.1 / 35.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

165.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 25.3 / 24.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$9.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$38.64 / $63.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.675Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.1 / 35.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.49 (46.29%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 103.52%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$61.3 / $9.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$14.5 / $39.48Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

165.76%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

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