US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthRange49%
Monthly Range probability 98%Range

SMCI 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $17.25 - $122.9 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.6, MACD -0.289

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.59 (31.38%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$35.09Bullish
EMA 21$36.8Bullish
EMA 50$32.86Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.6 · MACD -0.289

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.59 · BB 98.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -20.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$17.25 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+237.87% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$135.49
Nearest resistance

+206.48% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$40.1
Nearest support

-56.98% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$17.25
Deeper support zone

-88.37% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$4.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$27.51 - $52.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 24.3 / 22.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.14 / $63.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.59 (31.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.55%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$59.88 / $13.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.51 / $52.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.289Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.7 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 24.3 / 22.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.14 / $63.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.289Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.7 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.59 (31.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 98.55%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$59.88 / $13.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$27.51 / $52.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$17.25Range

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