US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

SMCI 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $36.74 and stabilize above resistance $45.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $45.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -0.800

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.69 (8.18%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$34.26Bearish
EMA 21$36.74Bearish
EMA 50$37.11Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -0.800

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.69 · BB 47.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.7 · OBV -4.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$30.92 - $45.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.13% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$48.46
Nearest resistance

+38.95% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$45.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.94
Nearest support

-6.13% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$30.92
Deeper support zone

-14.31% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$28.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.25 - $35.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $30.92, invalidation $37.45

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 14.1 / 39.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.41 / $38.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.69 (8.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.03%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$41.95 / $31.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.25 / $35.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$30.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.800Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $30.92, invalidation $37.45

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 14.1 / 39.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$25.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.41 / $38.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.800Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 15.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.69 (8.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.03%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$41.95 / $31.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.25 / $35.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$30.92Range

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