US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish71%
Daily Downside probability 71%Bearish

SMCI 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $40.16 and stabilize above resistance $45.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $45.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD -1.010

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.18 (6.11%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$39.23Bearish
EMA 21$40.16Bearish
EMA 50$38.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD -1.010

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.18 · BB 22.70%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.9 · OBV 1.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$35.36 - $45.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.03% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$47.95
Nearest resistance

+27.92% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$45.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$35.78
Nearest support

-1.17% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$35.36
Deeper support zone

-7.28% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$33.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$33.6 - $37.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $45.77, invalidation $40.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.7 / 14.0 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.63 / $37.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.18 (6.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.70%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$44.91 / $35.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$33.6 / $37.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.36Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.010Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.5 / 3.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-209.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $45.77, invalidation $40.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.7 / 14.0 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$40.63 / $37.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.010Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.5 / 3.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-209.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.18 (6.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.70%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$44.91 / $35.44Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$33.6 / $37.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.26%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.36Range

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