US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish73%
Daily Downside probability 73%Bearish

SMCI 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $34.57 and stabilize above resistance $51.35.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $51.35 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -1.114

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $3.78 (11.35%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$32.57Bullish
EMA 21$34.57Bearish
EMA 50$33.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -1.114

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.78 · BB 75.79%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.1 · OBV 21.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$27.42 - $51.35

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.51% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$55.13
Nearest resistance

+54.16% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$51.35
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$33.31
Nearest support

-17.68% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.42
Deeper support zone

-29.04% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$23.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$29.53 - $37.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $27.72, invalidation $32.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 9.2 / 45.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$35.82 / $37.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.78 (11.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.79%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$41.92 / $27.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.53 / $37.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.114Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.1 / 20.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

21.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $27.72, invalidation $32.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 9.2 / 45.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$35.82 / $37.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.114Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.1 / 20.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$3.78 (11.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.79%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$41.92 / $27.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$29.53 / $37.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

21.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.42Range

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