US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

SMCI 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $31.5 and stabilize above resistance $45.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $45.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.5, MACD -0.293

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.5 (9.27%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$28.71Bearish
EMA 21$31.5Bearish
EMA 50$34.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.5 · MACD -0.293

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.5 · BB 37.18%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.5 · OBV -19.72%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$25.7 - $45.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+78.85% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$48.27
Nearest resistance

+69.58% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$45.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$26.99
Nearest support

-4.78% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.7
Deeper support zone

-14.05% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$23.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$24.49 - $29.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.81, invalidation $31.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.3 / 20.3 / 41.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.9 / $35.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.5 (9.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.18%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.57 / $26.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24.49 / $29.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.1 / 22.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.81, invalidation $31.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.3 / 20.3 / 41.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$19.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.9 / $35.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.293Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.1 / 22.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.5 (9.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.18%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$36.57 / $26.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$24.49 / $29.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.72%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.7Range

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