US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

SMCI 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $29.98 and stabilize above resistance $51.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $51.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD -0.037

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.74 (6.3%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$28.11Bearish
EMA 21$29.98Bearish
EMA 50$31.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD -0.037

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.74 · BB 31.42%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.9 · OBV -11.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$25.41 - $51.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+92.12% · 14.6 ATR above latest close

$53.14
Nearest resistance

+85.82% · 13.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$51.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.66
Nearest support

-8.16% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.41
Deeper support zone

-14.46% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$23.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.92 - $29.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.41, invalidation $29.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 9.7 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.32 / $38.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.74 (6.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.42%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.77 / $26.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.92 / $29.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.41Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.037Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.3 / 26.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $25.41, invalidation $29.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 9.7 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$31.32 / $38.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.037Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.3 / 26.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-62.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.74 (6.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.42%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.77 / $26.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.92 / $29.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.25xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.41Range

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