US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

IBM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $276.06 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.6, MACD -3.950

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.82 (7.7%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$274.59Bearish
EMA 21$276.06Bearish
EMA 50$268.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.6 · MACD -3.950

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.82 · BB 29.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV -7.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$213.22 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.79% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$349.28
Nearest resistance

+52.09% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.59
Nearest support

-2.46% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$213.22
Deeper support zone

-10.15% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$196.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$201.77 - $235.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $311.8, invalidation $284.44

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.8 / 22.6 / 39.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.51 / $272.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.82 (7.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.64%

-19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.28 / $238.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.77 / $235.41Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.950Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 45.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $311.8, invalidation $284.44

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.8 / 22.6 / 39.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.22Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.51 / $272.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.950Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 45.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-151.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.82 (7.7%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.64%

-19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$314.28 / $238.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.77 / $235.41Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.22Range

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