US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish66%
Daily Downside probability 66%Bearish

IBM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $245.69 and stabilize above resistance $259.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $259.59 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.3, MACD -1.485

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.24 (2.55%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$246.91Bearish
EMA 21$245.69Bearish
EMA 50$241.49Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD -1.485

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.24 · BB 10.31%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 48.0 · OBV 6.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$217.8 - $259.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.65% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$265.83
Nearest resistance

+6.1% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$244.67
Nearest support

-10.98% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$217.8
Deeper support zone

-13.53% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$211.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$238.43 - $250.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.35, invalidation $258.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 19.8 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$245.64 / $238.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.24 (2.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.31%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.25 / $233.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.43 / $250.91Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$217.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.485Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.5 / 29.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240.35, invalidation $258.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.2 / 19.8 / 36.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$245.64 / $238.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.485Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.5 / 29.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-38.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.24 (2.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.31%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$258.25 / $233.57Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.43 / $250.91Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$217.8Range

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