US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

IBM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $233.13 and stabilize above resistance $311.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $311.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD 1.498

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.89 (3.5%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$223.8Bullish
EMA 21$233.13Bearish
EMA 50$245.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD 1.498

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.89 · BB 54.18%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.0 · OBV -25.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$199.19 - $311.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.97% · 12.0 ATR above latest close

$319.69
Nearest resistance

+38.46% · 11.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$311.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$225.19
Nearest support

-11.54% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-15.05% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$191.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$217.29 - $233.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.97, invalidation $216.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.9 / 28.8 / 22.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$235.29 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.89 (3.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.18%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$247.63 / $217.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.29 / $233.08Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$311.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.498Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.8 / 81.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.97, invalidation $216.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.9 / 28.8 / 22.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.66Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$235.29 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.498Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.8 / 81.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-17.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.89 (3.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.18%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$247.63 / $217.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.29 / $233.08Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$311.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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