US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

IBM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $228.78 and stabilize above resistance $251.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $251.82 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -1.042

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.52 (2.93%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$224.33Bearish
EMA 21$228.78Bearish
EMA 50$233.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -1.042

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.52 · BB 14.58%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.2 · OBV -4.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$218.6 - $251.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.03% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$258.33
Nearest resistance

+13.1% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$251.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.64
Nearest support

-1.81% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$218.6
Deeper support zone

-4.74% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$212.08
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.12 - $229.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.6, invalidation $234.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 17.7 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.72 / $225.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.52 (2.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.58%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$240.46 / $216.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.12 / $229.16Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$251.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.042Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.63xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.6, invalidation $234.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.9 / 17.7 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$205.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.72 / $225.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.042Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 16.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.52 (2.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.58%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$240.46 / $216.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.12 / $229.16Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.63xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$251.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.6Range

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