US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish75%
3M Upside probability 75%Bullish

SMCI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1.57 and reclaim $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1.57 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $30.96 (111.91%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$33.23Bearish
EMA 21$25.72Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $30.96 · BB 321.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 70.2 · OBV 471.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1.57 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+456.21% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$153.86
Nearest resistance

+344.3% · 3.1 ATR above · 29-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.66
Nearest support

-94.34% · 0.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$1.57
Deeper support zone

-206.26% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

-$29.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$3.3 - $58.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.7 / 36.5 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$61.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$59.61 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.96 (111.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 321.51%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$85.99 / -$32.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$3.3 / $58.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

471.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.7 / 36.5 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$61.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$59.61 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.1 / 16.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.96 (111.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 321.51%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$85.99 / -$32.98Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$3.3 / $58.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

471.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

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