US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish88%
3M Upside probability 88%Bullish

SMCI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1.57 and reclaim $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1.57 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.93 (97.09%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$35.47Bearish
EMA 21$27.48Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $31.93 · BB 292.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 71.4 · OBV 852.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1.57 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+370.82% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$154.83
Nearest resistance

+273.73% · 2.8 ATR above · 30-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.89
Nearest support

-95.24% · 1.0 ATR below · 30-bar low

$1.57
Deeper support zone

-192.33% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

-$30.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$0.9559 - $64.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.9, invalidation $19.48

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.2 / 32.4 / 15.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$48.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$52.2 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.93 (97.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 292.49%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.06 / -$29.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.9559 / $64.81Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.8 / 20.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

852.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.9, invalidation $19.48

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.2 / 32.4 / 15.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$48.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$52.2 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.8 / 20.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.93 (97.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 292.49%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$86.06 / -$29.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$0.9559 / $64.81Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

852.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

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