US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish92%
3M Upside probability 92%Bullish

SMCI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1.57 and reclaim $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1.57 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.19 (71.38%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$37.87Bullish
EMA 21$28.46Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.5 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $31.19 · BB 289.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 71.2 · OBV 928.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1.57 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+252.68% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$154.09
Nearest resistance

+181.3% · 2.5 ATR above · 30-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$43.69
Nearest support

-96.42% · 1.4 ATR below · 30-bar low

$1.57
Deeper support zone

-167.8% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

-$29.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$12.5 - $74.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.9, invalidation $19.48

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.2 / 32.9 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$41.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$52.2 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.19 (71.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 289.17%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$85.01 / -$26.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.5 / $74.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 24.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

928.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.9, invalidation $19.48

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.2 / 32.9 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$41.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$52.2 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 24.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.19 (71.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 289.17%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$85.01 / -$26.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$12.5 / $74.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

71.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

928.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

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