US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish81%
3M Upside probability 81%Bullish

SMCI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $2.2 and reclaim $122.83.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $2.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $30.93 (92.86%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$35.7Bearish
EMA 21$25.73Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $30.93 · BB 342.00%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.9 · OBV 1591.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$2.2 - $122.83

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+361.61% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$153.76
Nearest resistance

+268.75% · 2.9 ATR above · 24-bar high

$122.83
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$33.31
Nearest support

-93.4% · 1.0 ATR below · 24-bar low

$2.2
Deeper support zone

-186.26% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

-$28.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$2.38 - $64.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.33, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$79.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.93 (92.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 342.00%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.18 / -$50.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.38 / $64.24Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 19.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

16.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1591.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $62.33, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$79.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 19.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

16.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.93 (92.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 342.00%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.18 / -$50.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$2.38 / $64.24Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1591.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.83Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2.2Range

Related Forecasts