US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish75%
3M Upside probability 75%Bullish

SMCI 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1.57 and reclaim $122.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1.57 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $31.33 (112.91%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$33.25Bearish
EMA 21$25.73Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $31.33 · BB 321.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 69.7 · OBV 408.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1.57 - $122.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+455.78% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$154.23
Nearest resistance

+342.87% · 3.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$122.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.75
Nearest support

-94.36% · 0.8 ATR below · 29-bar low

$1.57
Deeper support zone

-207.27% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

-$29.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$3.58 - $59.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.7 / 36.0 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$62.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$59.61 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.33 (112.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 321.46%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.06 / -$34.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$3.58 / $59.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.2 / 16.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

408.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.7 / 36.0 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$62.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$59.61 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.2 / 16.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-13.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$31.33 (112.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 321.46%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.06 / -$34.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$3.58 / $59.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

69.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

408.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1.57Range

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