US stock / ETF

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)

STX · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

STX 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $734.03 and stabilize above resistance $946.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $946.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.9, MACD -12.572

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $41.34 (6.56%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$667.69Bearish
EMA 21$734.03Bearish
EMA 50$789.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.9 · MACD -12.572

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $41.34 · BB 53.26%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 14.4 · OBV -13.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$621 - $946.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.66% · 8.6 ATR above latest close

$987.7
Nearest resistance

+50.1% · 7.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$946.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$630.49
Nearest support

-1.51% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$621
Deeper support zone

-8.06% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$579.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$589.15 - $671.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $636.36, invalidation $715.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.4 / 9.2 / 41.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$498.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$735.04 / $810.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$41.34 (6.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.26%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$823.6 / $637.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$589.15 / $671.83Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$946.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$621Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.572Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 4.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $636.36, invalidation $715.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.4 / 9.2 / 41.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$498.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$735.04 / $810.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.572Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 4.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$41.34 (6.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.26%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$823.6 / $637.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$589.15 / $671.83Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

14.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$946.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$621Range

Related Forecasts