US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

MPWR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,354.6 and stabilize above resistance $1,568.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,568.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.1, MACD -6.201

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $58.84 (4.47%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,337.7Bearish
EMA 21$1,354.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,378Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.1 · MACD -6.201

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $58.84 · BB 14.97%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV 18.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,231 - $1,568.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.61% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$1,627.1
Nearest resistance

+19.14% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,568.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,316.3
Nearest support

-6.48% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,231
Deeper support zone

-10.95% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$1,172.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,257.4 - $1,375.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,267.8, invalidation $1,465

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 17.7 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,144.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,385.2 / $1,448.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$58.84 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.97%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,469.1 / $1,238.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,257.4 / $1,375.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,568.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,231Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.201Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.6 / 23.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,267.8, invalidation $1,465

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 17.7 / 31.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,144.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,385.2 / $1,448.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.201Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.6 / 23.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$58.84 (4.47%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.97%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,469.1 / $1,238.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,257.4 / $1,375.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.77xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,568.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,231Range

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