US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

MPWR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,267.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,491.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,491.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.4, MACD -23.897

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $63.19 (5.54%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,211.3Bearish
EMA 21$1,267.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,297.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.4 · MACD -23.897

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $63.19 · BB 30.10%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 12.4 · OBV -26.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,126.6 - $1,491.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.37% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$1,554.8
Nearest resistance

+30.83% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,491.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,140.1
Nearest support

-1.19% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,126.6
Deeper support zone

-6.73% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$1,063.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,076.9 - $1,203.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,195, invalidation $1,288.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.0 / 2.9 / 48.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$950.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,261.4 / $1,309.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$63.19 (5.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.10%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,397.4 / $1,134Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,076.9 / $1,203.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,491.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,126.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-23.897Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 4.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,195, invalidation $1,288.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.0 / 2.9 / 48.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$950.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,261.4 / $1,309.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-23.897Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 4.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$63.19 (5.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.10%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,397.4 / $1,134Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,076.9 / $1,203.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

12.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,491.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,126.6Range

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