US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

MPWR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,266.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,568.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,568.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.3, MACD -1.568

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $38.11 (3.09%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,230.4Bullish
EMA 21$1,266.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,318.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.3 · MACD -1.568

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $38.11 · BB 17.60%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.0 · OBV -28.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,176 - $1,568.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.12% · 9.8 ATR above latest close

$1,606.3
Nearest resistance

+27.04% · 8.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,568.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,234.5
Nearest support

-4.74% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,176
Deeper support zone

-7.83% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$1,137.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,196.4 - $1,272.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,176, invalidation $1,240

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.3 / 17.0 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,104.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,266.7 / $1,372.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$38.11 (3.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.60%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,339.4 / $1,188.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,196.4 / $1,272.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,568.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,176Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.568Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 28.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,176, invalidation $1,240

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.3 / 17.0 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,104.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,266.7 / $1,372.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.568Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.5 / 28.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$38.11 (3.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.60%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,339.4 / $1,188.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,196.4 / $1,272.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-28.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.24xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,568.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,176Range

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