US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

MPWR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,545.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,713.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,713.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.3, MACD -14.893

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $113.35 (7.96%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,521.7Bearish
EMA 21$1,545.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,498.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.3 · MACD -14.893

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $113.35 · BB 18.69%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.1 · OBV -55.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,404.1 - $1,713.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.2% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$1,826.5
Nearest resistance

+20.25% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,713.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,424.7
Nearest support

-1.44% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,404.1
Deeper support zone

-9.4% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$1,290.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,311.3 - $1,538

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,666.2, invalidation $1,442.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.4 / 13.7 / 37.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,104.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,546.9 / $1,509.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$113.35 (7.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.69%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,772.1 / $1,318.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,311.3 / $1,538Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,713.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,404.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.893Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.0 / 38.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-55.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,666.2, invalidation $1,442.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.4 / 13.7 / 37.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,104.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,546.9 / $1,509.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-14.893Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.0 / 38.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-177.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$113.35 (7.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.69%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,772.1 / $1,318.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,311.3 / $1,538Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-55.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,713.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,404.1Range

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