US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish74%
Daily Downside probability 74%Bearish

MPWR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,393.6 and stabilize above resistance $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,714.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.9, MACD 2.920

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $80.97 (5.85%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,346.5Bullish
EMA 21$1,393.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,430.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD 2.920

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $80.97 · BB 28.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.1 · OBV -31.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,232 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.79% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$1,795.1
Nearest resistance

+23.94% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,383
Nearest support

-10.92% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,232
Deeper support zone

-16.77% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$1,151.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,302 - $1,464

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,407.1, invalidation $1,232

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 26.8 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,138.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,384.5 / $1,473.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$80.97 (5.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.65%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,537.9 / $1,242.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,302 / $1,464Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,232Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.920Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.2 / 38.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,407.1, invalidation $1,232

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.6 / 26.8 / 27.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,138.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,384.5 / $1,473.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.920Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.2 / 38.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$80.97 (5.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 28.65%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,537.9 / $1,242.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,302 / $1,464Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.60%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,232Range

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