US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayRange50%
Daily Range probability 100%Range

MPWR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $1,231 - $1,656.2 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.1, MACD 8.603

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $89.28 (6.59%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,346.7Bullish
EMA 21$1,356.2Bearish
EMA 50$1,391.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.1 · MACD 8.603

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $89.28 · BB 12.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.9 · OBV 8.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,231 - $1,656.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+28.78% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$1,745.5
Nearest resistance

+22.2% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,656.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,355.4
Nearest support

-9.18% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,231
Deeper support zone

-15.76% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$1,141.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,266.1 - $1,444.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,568.2, invalidation $1,240

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 25.4 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,093.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,401.9 / $1,472.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$89.28 (6.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.44%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,551.5 / $1,157.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,266.1 / $1,444.6Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,656.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,231Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

8.603Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.9 / 42.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

54.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,568.2, invalidation $1,240

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.9 / 25.4 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,093.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,401.9 / $1,472.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

8.603Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.9 / 42.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

54.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$89.28 (6.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.44%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,551.5 / $1,157.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,266.1 / $1,444.6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,656.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,231Range

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