US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish91%
1h Downside probability 91%Bearish

SMCI 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $32.91 and stabilize above resistance $36.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $36.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.2, MACD -0.337

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6925 (2.15%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$32.6Bearish
EMA 21$32.91Bearish
EMA 50$32.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.2 · MACD -0.337

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6925 · BB 15.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.1 · OBV -27.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$27.79 - $36.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.42% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$37.49
Nearest resistance

+14.27% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$36.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.2
Nearest support

-13.7% · 6.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.79
Deeper support zone

-15.85% · 7.4 ATR below latest close

$27.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$31.51 - $32.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.81, invalidation $33.97

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.9 / 16.5 / 44.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.08 / $32.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6925 (2.15%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.52%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$34.21 / $31.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.51 / $32.89Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.81, invalidation $33.97

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.9 / 16.5 / 44.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$29.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.08 / $32.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.6 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.4Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6925 (2.15%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.52%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$34.21 / $31.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.51 / $32.89Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.79Range

Related Forecasts