US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

SMCI 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $28.13 and stabilize above resistance $31.13.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $31.13 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.2, MACD -0.184

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $0.7542 (2.78%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$27.41Bearish
EMA 21$28.13Bearish
EMA 50$28.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.2 · MACD -0.184

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7542 · BB 18.54%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.8 · OBV -411.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$26.39 - $31.13

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.59% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$31.88
Nearest resistance

+14.81% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$31.13
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.11
Nearest support

-2.66% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$26.39
Deeper support zone

-5.44% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$25.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$26.36 - $27.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.39, invalidation $27.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.6 / 15.2 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.23 / $28.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.7542 (2.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.54%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.87 / $26.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.36 / $27.86Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$31.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$26.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.184Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.0 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-411.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.83xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $26.39, invalidation $27.89

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.6 / 15.2 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.23 / $28.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.184Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.0 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$0.7542 (2.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.54%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$29.87 / $26.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.36 / $27.86Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-411.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.83xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$31.13Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$26.39Range

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