US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish77%
1h Downside probability 77%Bearish

SMCI 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $33.71 and stabilize above resistance $35.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $35.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD -0.072

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4598 (1.4%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$33.38Bearish
EMA 21$33.71Bearish
EMA 50$33.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD -0.072

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4598 · BB 4.90%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.0 · OBV 5.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$32.8 - $35.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.76% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$36.09
Nearest resistance

+8.36% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$35.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.89
Nearest support

-0.27% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$32.8
Deeper support zone

-1.67% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$32.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$32.43 - $33.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $34.01, invalidation $33.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.5 / 20.7 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$31.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.67 / $35.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4598 (1.4%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.90%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$34.56 / $32.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$32.43 / $33.34Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$35.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.072Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 5.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.20%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.84xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $34.01, invalidation $33.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.5 / 20.7 / 29.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$31.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$33.67 / $35.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.072Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 5.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4598 (1.4%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.90%

3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$34.56 / $32.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$32.43 / $33.34Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.20%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.84xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$35.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$32.8Range

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