US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish78%
Weekly Downside probability 78%Bearish

SMCI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $31.41 and stabilize above resistance $51.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $51.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD -0.211

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.65 (24.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$30.27Bearish
EMA 21$31.41Bearish
EMA 50$34.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD -0.211

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.65 · BB 79.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.6 · OBV -3.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.48 - $51.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+109.87% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$58.05
Nearest resistance

+85.82% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$51.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.66
Nearest support

-29.58% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.48
Deeper support zone

-53.63% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$12.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.01 - $34.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 33.8 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.92 / $40.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.65 (24.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.04%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$45.73 / $16.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.01 / $34.31Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.48Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.211Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.9 / 18.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $51.4, invalidation $19.48

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 33.8 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.92 / $40.92Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.211Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.9 / 18.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.65 (24.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 79.04%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$45.73 / $16.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.01 / $34.31Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.48Range

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