US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish89%
Weekly Downside probability 89%Bearish

SMCI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $34.15 and stabilize above resistance $51.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $51.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD -1.222

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.95 (22.05%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$32.81Bearish
EMA 21$34.15Bearish
EMA 50$34.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD -1.222

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.95 · BB 69.30%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.4 · OBV 9.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.48 - $51.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+112.49% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$57.35
Nearest resistance

+90.44% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$51.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$26.99
Nearest support

-27.83% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.48
Deeper support zone

-49.88% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$13.53
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$21.04 - $32.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $45.77, invalidation $35.36

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 20.0 / 20.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.56 / $35.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.95 (22.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.30%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$45.86 / $22.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.04 / $32.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.48Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.4 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.84%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.40xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $45.77, invalidation $35.36

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.4 / 20.0 / 20.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$10.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.56 / $35.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.4 / 19.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.95 (22.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.30%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$45.86 / $22.45Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$21.04 / $32.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.84%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.40xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.48Range

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