US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

SMCI 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $30.49 and stabilize above resistance $51.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $51.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.1, MACD -0.270

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.11 (25.64%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$29Bearish
EMA 21$30.49Bearish
EMA 50$33.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.1 · MACD -0.270

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.11 · BB 75.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.9 · OBV 1.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$19.48 - $51.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+110.85% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$58.51
Nearest resistance

+85.22% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$51.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.75
Nearest support

-29.8% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$19.48
Deeper support zone

-55.44% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$12.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$20.64 - $34.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.59, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 31.4 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$34.8 / $39.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.11 (25.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.83%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$43.58 / $17.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.64 / $34.87Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.48Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.270Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 19.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $32.59, invalidation $23.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 31.4 / 21.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$8.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$34.8 / $39.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.270Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 19.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.11 (25.64%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.83%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$43.58 / $17.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$20.64 / $34.87Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.42%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$19.48Range

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