US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish68%
12h Downside probability 68%Bearish

SMCI 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $28.46 and stabilize above resistance $36.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $36.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.0, MACD 0.270

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.01 (3.64%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$27.81Bearish
EMA 21$28.46Bearish
EMA 50$30.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD 0.270

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.01 · BB 12.93%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.7 · OBV -100.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$25.55 - $36.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.68% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$37.81
Nearest resistance

+33.04% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$36.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.66
Nearest support

-7.63% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.55
Deeper support zone

-11.28% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$24.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$26.65 - $28.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.12, invalidation $27.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.1 / 24.8 / 19.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.59 / $35.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.01 (3.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.93%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.49 / $26.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.65 / $28.67Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.270Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.2 / 59.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $29.12, invalidation $27.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.1 / 24.8 / 19.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$24.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$28.59 / $35.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.270Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.2 / 59.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.01 (3.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.93%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$30.49 / $26.28Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$26.65 / $28.67Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$36.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.55Range

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