US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish85%
12h Downside probability 85%Bearish

SMCI 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $29.92 and stabilize above resistance $37.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $37.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.5, MACD 0.077

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1.86 (6.86%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$28.54Bearish
EMA 21$29.92Bearish
EMA 50$32.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.5 · MACD 0.077

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.86 · BB 29.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.1 · OBV -2039.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$25.9 - $37.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+45% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$39.31
Nearest resistance

+38.14% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$37.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$27.11
Nearest support

-4.46% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$25.9
Deeper support zone

-11.32% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$24.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$25.25 - $28.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.13, invalidation $27.18

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.8 / 15.2 / 46.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$29.89 / $35.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.86 (6.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.17%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.92 / $26.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.25 / $28.97Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$37.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.077Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.5 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2039.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.73xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $31.13, invalidation $27.18

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.8 / 15.2 / 46.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$23.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$29.89 / $35.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.077Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.5 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-86.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1.86 (6.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.17%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$32.92 / $26.69Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$25.25 / $28.97Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2039.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.73xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$37.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$25.9Range

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