US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish77%
12h Downside probability 77%Bearish

SMCI 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $34.62 and stabilize above resistance $51.35.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $51.35 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -0.861

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.18 (12.98%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$32.88Bearish
EMA 21$34.62Bearish
EMA 50$33.73Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -0.861

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.18 · BB 78.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.8 · OBV 123.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$27.72 - $51.35

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.46% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$55.53
Nearest resistance

+59.47% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$51.35
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.2
Nearest support

-13.91% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$27.72
Deeper support zone

-26.9% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$23.54
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$28.02 - $36.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.8, invalidation $27.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 12.4 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$35.9 / $37.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.18 (12.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.51%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$42.24 / $26.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.02 / $36.38Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.861Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

123.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $36.8, invalidation $27.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 12.4 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$21.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$35.9 / $37.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.861Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.3 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.18 (12.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 78.51%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$42.24 / $26.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$28.02 / $36.38Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

123.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$51.35Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$27.72Range

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