US stock / ETF

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

SMCI · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish87%
12h Downside probability 87%Bearish

SMCI 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $35.79 and stabilize above resistance $45.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $45.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD 0.026

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $2.1 (6.39%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$34.1Bearish
EMA 21$35.79Bearish
EMA 50$37.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD 0.026

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.1 · BB 31.45%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 17.4 · OBV -77.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$31.05 - $45.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+45.57% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$47.87
Nearest resistance

+39.18% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$45.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$32.89
Nearest support

-5.58% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$31.05
Deeper support zone

-11.97% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$28.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$30.78 - $34.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.05, invalidation $31.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.0 / 21.8 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$27.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.48 / $38.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.1 (6.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.45%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$39.81 / $31.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.78 / $34.99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$31.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.026Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 31.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $38.05, invalidation $31.05

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.0 / 21.8 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$27.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$36.48 / $38.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.026Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 31.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-69.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$2.1 (6.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.45%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$39.81 / $31.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$30.78 / $34.99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$45.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$31.05Range

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