US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish55%
4h Upside probability 55%Bullish

NVR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $6,318.9 and reclaim $6,932.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $6,318.9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 48.8, MACD 3.872

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $63.5 (0.98%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,448Bullish
EMA 21$6,499.4Bullish
EMA 50$6,533Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD 3.872

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $63.5 · BB 6.83%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.4 · OBV -15.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$6,318.9 - $6,932

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.57% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$6,995.5
Nearest resistance

+6.59% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,932
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,503.5
Nearest support

-2.84% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,318.9
Deeper support zone

-3.81% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$6,255.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,440 - $6,567

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,318.9, invalidation $6,551.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 40.8 / 16.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,286.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,530.4 / $6,637.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$63.5 (0.98%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.83%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,631.5 / $6,359.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,440 / $6,567Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,932Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,318.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.872Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.0 / 54.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-0.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,318.9, invalidation $6,551.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 40.8 / 16.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,286.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,530.4 / $6,637.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.872Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.0 / 54.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-0.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$63.5 (0.98%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.83%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,631.5 / $6,359.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,440 / $6,567Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,932Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,318.9Range

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