US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

NVR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,196.7 and stabilize above resistance $6,459.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,459.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD -0.723

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $73.39 (1.19%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,143.7Bullish
EMA 21$6,196.7Bearish
EMA 50$6,263.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD -0.723

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $73.39 · BB 6.75%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 40.0 · OBV 27.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$6,057.8 - $6,459.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.03% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$6,532.5
Nearest resistance

+4.84% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,459.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,160.8
Nearest support

-1.67% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,057.8
Deeper support zone

-2.86% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$5,984.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,087.4 - $6,234.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,106.1, invalidation $6,188.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 18.3 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,948.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,208.4 / $6,292.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$73.39 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.75%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,334.6 / $6,051.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,087.4 / $6,234.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,459.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,057.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.723Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 28.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,106.1, invalidation $6,188.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 18.3 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,948.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,208.4 / $6,292.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.723Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 28.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-39.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$73.39 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.75%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,334.6 / $6,051.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,087.4 / $6,234.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

27.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,459.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,057.8Range

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