US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish91%
4h Downside probability 91%Bearish

NVR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,501.7 and stabilize above resistance $6,932.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,932 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -12.244

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $57.8 (0.91%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,420.8Bearish
EMA 21$6,501.7Bearish
EMA 50$6,536.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -12.244

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $57.8 · BB 8.01%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 8.6 · OBV -16.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$6,318.9 - $6,932

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.58% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$6,989.8
Nearest resistance

+8.67% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,932
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,378.8
Nearest support

-0.94% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,318.9
Deeper support zone

-1.84% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$6,261.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,321 - $6,436.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,318.9, invalidation $6,551.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.6 / 28.9 / 21.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,194.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,532.9 / $6,637.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$57.8 (0.91%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.01%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,619.6 / $6,374.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,321 / $6,436.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,932Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,318.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.244Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.7 / 18.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,318.9, invalidation $6,551.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.6 / 28.9 / 21.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,194.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,532.9 / $6,637.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.244Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.7 / 18.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$57.8 (0.91%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.01%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,619.6 / $6,374.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,321 / $6,436.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.47xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,932Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,318.9Range

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