US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,047.2 and stabilize above resistance $6,554.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,554.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD -57.957

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $98.14 (1.69%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$5,921.8Bearish
EMA 21$6,047.2Bearish
EMA 50$6,058.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD -57.957

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $98.14 · BB 14.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV -90.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5,788.4 - $6,554.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.42% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$6,652.5
Nearest resistance

+12.73% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,554.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,814.3
Nearest support

-0.45% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,788.4
Deeper support zone

-2.13% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$5,690.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,716.2 - $5,912.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,842.8, invalidation $6,000.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 19.1 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,513.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,107.5 / $6,078Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$98.14 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.93%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,238.9 / $5,847.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,716.2 / $5,912.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,554.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,788.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-57.957Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 5.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-90.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,842.8, invalidation $6,000.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 19.1 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,513.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,107.5 / $6,078Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-57.957Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.2 / 5.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$98.14 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.93%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,238.9 / $5,847.9Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,716.2 / $5,912.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-90.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,554.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,788.4Range

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