US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

NVR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,135.2 and stabilize above resistance $6,383.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,383.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.9, MACD -23.059

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $78.38 (1.31%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,055.8Bearish
EMA 21$6,135.2Bearish
EMA 50$6,193.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.9 · MACD -23.059

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $78.38 · BB 7.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.4 · OBV 10.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,948.1 - $6,383.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.81% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$6,461.7
Nearest resistance

+6.5% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,383.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,993.9
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,948.1
Deeper support zone

-2.07% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$5,869.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,915.5 - $6,072.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,961.9, invalidation $6,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.8 / 1.4 / 50.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,720.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,119.9 / $6,165.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$78.38 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,311.2 / $5,951.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,915.5 / $6,072.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,383.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,948.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-23.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 10.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,961.9, invalidation $6,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.8 / 1.4 / 50.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,720.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,119.9 / $6,165.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-23.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.6 / 10.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$78.38 (1.31%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,311.2 / $5,951.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,915.5 / $6,072.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,383.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,948.1Range

Related Forecasts