US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish69%
Weekly Downside probability 69%Bearish

NVR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,259.7 and stabilize above resistance $7,445.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7,445.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -12.369

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $327.75 (5.48%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,072Bearish
EMA 21$6,259.7Bearish
EMA 50$6,628Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -12.369

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $327.75 · BB 15.47%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV 35.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,501 - $7,445.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.91% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$7,773.3
Nearest resistance

+24.43% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7,445.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,983.7
Nearest support

-8.07% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-13.54% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$5,173.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,655.9 - $6,311.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,378, invalidation $6,057.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.3 / 5.6 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4,923.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,119.4 / $6,850.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$327.75 (5.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.47%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,853.2 / $5,639Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,655.9 / $6,311.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7,445.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.369Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 25.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

35.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,378, invalidation $6,057.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.3 / 5.6 / 26.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4,923.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,119.4 / $6,850.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-12.369Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 25.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$327.75 (5.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.47%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,853.2 / $5,639Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,655.9 / $6,311.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

35.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7,445.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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