US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish54%
Weekly Downside probability 54%Bearish

NVR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,494.8 and stabilize above resistance $8,200.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8,200 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.4, MACD 38.517

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $388.64 (6.11%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,373.1Bearish
EMA 21$6,494.8Bearish
EMA 50$6,853.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.4 · MACD 38.517

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $388.64 · BB 20.28%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.0 · OBV 94.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$5,501 - $8,200

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.07% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$8,588.6
Nearest resistance

+28.96% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8,200
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,358.5
Nearest support

-13.49% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-19.6% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$5,112.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,969.9 - $6,747.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,956.5, invalidation $5,919.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 19.9 / 13.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,177.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,510 / $7,059.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$388.64 (6.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.28%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7,277.8 / $5,685.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,969.9 / $6,747.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

38.517Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.6 / 57.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

94.04%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,956.5, invalidation $5,919.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.0 / 19.9 / 13.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,177.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,510 / $7,059.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

38.517Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.6 / 57.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$388.64 (6.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.28%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7,277.8 / $5,685.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,969.9 / $6,747.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

94.04%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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