US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

NVR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,572.7 and stabilize above resistance $8,123.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8,123 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.6, MACD 33.755

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $347.15 (5.42%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,320.3Bullish
EMA 21$6,572.7Bearish
EMA 50$7,006.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.6 · MACD 33.755

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $347.15 · BB 32.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.2 · OBV 4.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$5,515 - $8,123

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.32% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$8,470.2
Nearest resistance

+26.89% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8,123
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,401.4
Nearest support

-13.85% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,515
Deeper support zone

-19.27% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$5,167.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,054.2 - $6,748.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,515, invalidation $7,250.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 20.3 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,375.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,424.1 / $7,035.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$347.15 (5.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.27%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7,256.3 / $5,846.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,054.2 / $6,748.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,123Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,515Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

33.755Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 52.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,515, invalidation $7,250.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.3 / 20.3 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,375.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,424.1 / $7,035.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

33.755Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.1 / 52.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$347.15 (5.42%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.27%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7,256.3 / $5,846.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,054.2 / $6,748.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,123Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,515Range

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