US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

NVR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,199.8 and stabilize above resistance $7,294.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $7,294.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.7, MACD 1.410

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $348.85 (6%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,038.6Bearish
EMA 21$6,199.8Bearish
EMA 50$6,559.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.7 · MACD 1.410

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $348.85 · BB 15.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.7 · OBV -375.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5,501 - $7,294.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.46% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$7,643.3
Nearest resistance

+25.46% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$7,294.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,814.3
Nearest support

-5.39% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-11.39% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$5,152.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,465.5 - $6,163.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,550, invalidation $6,378

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.0 / 13.3 / 20.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4,905.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,152.7 / $6,850.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$348.85 (6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.14%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,982.4 / $5,391.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,465.5 / $6,163.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7,294.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.410Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.3 / 47.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-375.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,550, invalidation $6,378

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.0 / 13.3 / 20.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4,905.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,152.7 / $6,850.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.410Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.3 / 47.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$348.85 (6%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.14%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,982.4 / $5,391.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,465.5 / $6,163.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-375.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$7,294.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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