US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish60%
Weekly Downside probability 60%Bearish

NVR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,366.5 and stabilize above resistance $8,200.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8,200 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD 4.997

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $319.37 (5.33%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,219.1Bearish
EMA 21$6,366.5Bearish
EMA 50$6,716.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD 4.997

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $319.37 · BB 13.29%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.5 · OBV 38.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,501 - $8,200

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42.14% · 7.9 ATR above latest close

$8,519.4
Nearest resistance

+36.81% · 6.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8,200
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,993.9
Nearest support

-8.22% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-13.55% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$5,181.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,674.5 - $6,313.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,526.9, invalidation $6,057.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 5.7 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,309.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,317.6 / $6,850.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$319.37 (5.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.29%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,892.4 / $5,816.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,674.5 / $6,313.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.997Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 22.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,526.9, invalidation $6,057.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 5.7 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,309.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,317.6 / $6,850.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

4.997Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 22.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$319.37 (5.33%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.29%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,892.4 / $5,816.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,674.5 / $6,313.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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