US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish79%
Weekly Downside probability 79%Bearish

NVR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,588.4 and stabilize above resistance $8,200.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $8,200 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD 68.981

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $414.03 (6.49%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,462.5Bearish
EMA 21$6,588.4Bearish
EMA 50$6,966.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD 68.981

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $414.03 · BB 21.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.5 · OBV 73.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$5,501 - $8,200

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.04% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$8,614
Nearest resistance

+28.55% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$8,200
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,378.8
Nearest support

-13.76% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-20.25% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$5,087
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,964.8 - $6,792.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $6,956.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 19.2 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,284.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,559.3 / $7,059.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$414.03 (6.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.58%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7,331.3 / $5,814.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,964.8 / $6,792.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

68.981Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.9 / 57.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

73.92%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $6,956.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.0 / 19.2 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,284.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,559.3 / $7,059.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

68.981Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.9 / 57.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$414.03 (6.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.58%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$7,331.3 / $5,814.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,964.8 / $6,792.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

73.92%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$8,200Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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