US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish66%
3M Downside probability 66%Bearish

NVR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,214.9 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1,444.3 (23.44%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,952.6Bearish
EMA 21$6,214.9Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.5 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1,444.3 · BB 90.56%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.8 · OBV -43.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$2,043 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+85.19% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$11,409.1
Nearest resistance

+61.75% · 2.6 ATR above · 29-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,160.8
Nearest support

-66.84% · 2.9 ATR below · 29-bar low

$2,043
Deeper support zone

-90.28% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$598.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4,716.5 - $7,605.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 23.3 / 19.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,785.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,931.3 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,444.3 (23.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.56%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,423.6 / $3,272.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,716.5 / $7,605.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 35.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 23.3 / 19.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,785.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,931.3 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 35.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-11.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,444.3 (23.44%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.56%

43%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,423.6 / $3,272.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,716.5 / $7,605.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

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