US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish67%
3M Downside probability 67%Bearish

NVR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,178 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1,448.7 (24.92%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,698.5Bearish
EMA 21$6,178Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1,448.7 · BB 90.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.1 · OBV -58.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$2,043 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+96.3% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$11,413.5
Nearest resistance

+71.38% · 2.9 ATR above · 30-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,814.3
Nearest support

-64.86% · 2.6 ATR below · 30-bar low

$2,043
Deeper support zone

-89.78% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$594.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4,365.6 - $7,263.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,618.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 19.2 / 20.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,432.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,147.4 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,448.7 (24.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.77%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,376.2 / $3,217.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,365.6 / $7,263.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 24.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-58.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,618.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 19.2 / 20.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,432.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,147.4 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.7 / 24.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-32.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,448.7 (24.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.77%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,376.2 / $3,217.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,365.6 / $7,263.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-58.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

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