US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish55%
3M Downside probability 55%Bearish

NVR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,246.1 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1,416.6 (21.78%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$7,028.7Bearish
EMA 21$6,246.1Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1,416.6 · BB 90.16%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.8 · OBV -22.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$2,043 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+75% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$11,381.4
Nearest resistance

+53.22% · 2.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,503.5
Nearest support

-68.59% · 3.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$2,043
Deeper support zone

-90.37% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$626.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,086.9 - $7,920.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 23.7 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2,096Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,931.3 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,416.6 (21.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.16%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,378.7 / $3,382.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,086.9 / $7,920.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.2 / 38.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

2.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 23.7 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$2,096Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,931.3 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.2 / 38.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

2.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,416.6 (21.78%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.16%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,378.7 / $3,382.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,086.9 / $7,920.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

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