US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish55%
3M Downside probability 55%Bearish

NVR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,194.3 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $1,395 (23.27%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,738.4Bearish
EMA 21$6,194.3Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1,395 · BB 90.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.7 · OBV -29.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$2,043 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+89.52% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$11,359.7
Nearest resistance

+66.25% · 2.8 ATR above · 30-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,993.9
Nearest support

-65.91% · 2.8 ATR below · 30-bar low

$2,043
Deeper support zone

-89.19% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$648.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4,598.9 - $7,388.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,618.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.5 / 20.0 / 19.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,680.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,147.4 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,395 (23.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.41%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,242.8 / $3,384.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,598.9 / $7,388.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 26.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,618.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.5 / 20.0 / 19.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,680.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,147.4 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 26.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$1,395 (23.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 90.41%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$9,242.8 / $3,384.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4,598.9 / $7,388.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$2,043Range

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