US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

NVR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $7,025.5 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -199.295

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $834.47 (13.12%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,632.3Bearish
EMA 21$7,025.5Bearish
EMA 50$6,652.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -199.295

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $834.47 · BB 33.18%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 58.2 · OBV -32.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,419 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+69.84% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$10,799.2
Nearest resistance

+56.72% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,358.5
Nearest support

-14.78% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,419
Deeper support zone

-27.9% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$4,584.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,524 - $7,193

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 18.2 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,829.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,770.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$834.47 (13.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.18%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,693.2 / $5,339.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,524 / $7,193Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,419Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-199.295Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.5 / 30.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 18.2 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,829.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,770.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-199.295Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.5 / 30.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$834.47 (13.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.18%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,693.2 / $5,339.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,524 / $7,193Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,419Range

Related Forecasts