US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

NVR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,760 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -181.179

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $801.8 (13.79%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,267.2Bearish
EMA 21$6,760Bearish
EMA 50$6,574.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -181.179

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $801.8 · BB 40.01%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.2 · OBV -42.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5,501 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+85.17% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$10,766.6
Nearest resistance

+71.38% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,814.3
Nearest support

-5.39% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-19.18% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$4,699.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,012.5 - $6,616.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.0 / 12.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,713.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,103.1 / $6,890.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$801.8 (13.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.01%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,380.5 / $5,102.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,012.5 / $6,616.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-181.179Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 15.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-42.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.0 / 12.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,713.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,103.1 / $6,890.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-181.179Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 15.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-102.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$801.8 (13.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 40.01%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,380.5 / $5,102.8Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,012.5 / $6,616.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-42.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.61xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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