US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

NVR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,944.7 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.9, MACD -189.917

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $808.5 (13.12%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,523.1Bearish
EMA 21$6,944.7Bearish
EMA 50$6,632.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.9 · MACD -189.917

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $808.5 · BB 33.99%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.8 · OBV -30.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,501 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+74.87% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$10,773.3
Nearest resistance

+61.75% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,160.8
Nearest support

-10.71% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-23.83% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$4,692.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,352.3 - $6,969.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 14.0 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,804.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,770.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$808.5 (13.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.99%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,569.6 / $5,295.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,352.3 / $6,969.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-189.917Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.2 / 22.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 14.0 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,804.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,770.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-189.917Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.2 / 22.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$808.5 (13.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.99%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,569.6 / $5,295.6Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,352.3 / $6,969.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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