US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish79%
Monthly Downside probability 79%Bearish

NVR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $7,151.4 and stabilize above resistance $9,948.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,948.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -235.967

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $748.09 (11.69%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,778.8Bearish
EMA 21$7,151.4Bearish
EMA 50$6,591.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -235.967

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $748.09 · BB 38.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 65.1 · OBV -30.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,236 - $9,948.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.09% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$10,696.4
Nearest resistance

+55.41% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9,948.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,401.4
Nearest support

-18.21% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,236
Deeper support zone

-29.89% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$4,487.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,653.3 - $7,149.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,609.8, invalidation $8,123

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 16.7 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,918.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,289.2 / $6,769.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$748.09 (11.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.90%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,730.9 / $5,562.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,653.3 / $7,149.5Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,948.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,236Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-235.967Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.1 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,609.8, invalidation $8,123

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 16.7 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,918.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,289.2 / $6,769.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-235.967Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.1 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$748.09 (11.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.90%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,730.9 / $5,562.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,653.3 / $7,149.5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.64xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,948.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,236Range

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