US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

NVR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $7,113.3 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.1, MACD -204.243

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $819.18 (12.84%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,762.1Bearish
EMA 21$7,113.3Bearish
EMA 50$6,673.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.1 · MACD -204.243

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $819.18 · BB 32.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.8 · OBV -36.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,210.5 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+69.06% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$10,784
Nearest resistance

+56.22% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,378.8
Nearest support

-18.32% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,210.5
Deeper support zone

-31.16% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$4,391.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,559.6 - $7,198

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 18.6 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4,002Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,770.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$819.18 (12.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.12%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,835 / $5,380.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,559.6 / $7,198Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,210.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-204.243Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.2 / 29.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 18.6 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$4,002Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,770.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-204.243Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.2 / 29.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$819.18 (12.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.12%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,835 / $5,380.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,559.6 / $7,198Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-36.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,210.5Range

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