US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish87%
Monthly Downside probability 87%Bearish

NVR 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,857.8 and stabilize above resistance $9,964.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $9,964.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -183.378

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $769.93 (12.85%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,404.4Bearish
EMA 21$6,857.8Bearish
EMA 50$6,607.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -183.378

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $769.93 · BB 36.74%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 47.7 · OBV -31.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,501 - $9,964.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.1% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$10,734.7
Nearest resistance

+66.25% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$9,964.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,993.9
Nearest support

-8.22% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,501
Deeper support zone

-21.07% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$4,731.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,223.9 - $6,763.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 11.9 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,687Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,890.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$769.93 (12.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.74%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,434 / $5,251.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,223.9 / $6,763.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-183.378Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,501, invalidation $8,200

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.6 / 11.9 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$3,687Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$7,291.7 / $6,890.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-183.378Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.8 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$769.93 (12.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.74%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$8,434 / $5,251.2Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,223.9 / $6,763.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.70%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$9,964.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,501Range

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