US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish54%
12h Downside probability 54%Bearish

NVR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,048 and stabilize above resistance $6,554.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,554.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.3, MACD -11.943

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $234.92 (4.04%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,048.7Bearish
EMA 21$6,048Bearish
EMA 50$6,085.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.3 · MACD -11.943

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $234.92 · BB 13.56%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 60.7 · OBV -0.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,601.6 - $6,554.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.77% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$6,789.3
Nearest resistance

+12.73% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,554.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,814.3
Nearest support

-3.66% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,601.6
Deeper support zone

-7.7% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$5,366.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,579.4 - $6,049.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,554.4, invalidation $5,670

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 25.3 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,146.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,124.7 / $6,078Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$234.92 (4.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.56%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,547.2 / $5,550Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,579.4 / $6,049.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,554.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,601.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.943Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 29.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,554.4, invalidation $5,670

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 25.3 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,146.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,124.7 / $6,078Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-11.943Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.3 / 29.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$234.92 (4.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.56%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,547.2 / $5,550Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,579.4 / $6,049.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,554.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,601.6Range

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