US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish75%
12h Downside probability 75%Bearish

NVR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,279.5 and stabilize above resistance $6,558.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,558.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD -22.322

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $126.01 (2.05%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,211Bearish
EMA 21$6,279.5Bearish
EMA 50$6,335Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD -22.322

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $126.01 · BB 6.20%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.6 · OBV -0.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$6,057.8 - $6,558.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.51% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$6,684.8
Nearest resistance

+6.46% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,558.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,160.8
Nearest support

-1.67% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,057.8
Deeper support zone

-3.72% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$5,931.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,034.8 - $6,286.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,240, invalidation $6,459.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 14.7 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,733.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,275.4 / $6,431.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$126.01 (2.05%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.20%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,538.5 / $6,014Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,034.8 / $6,286.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,558.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,057.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-22.322Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 18.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,240, invalidation $6,459.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 14.7 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,733.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,275.4 / $6,431.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-22.322Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 18.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-154.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$126.01 (2.05%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.20%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,538.5 / $6,014Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,034.8 / $6,286.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,558.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,057.8Range

Related Forecasts