US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish76%
12h Downside probability 76%Bearish

NVR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,538.1 and stabilize above resistance $6,956.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,956.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD -57.116

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $160.76 (2.52%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$6,516.2Bearish
EMA 21$6,538.1Bearish
EMA 50$6,466.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD -57.116

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $160.76 · BB 11.02%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.3 · OBV -6.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$6,035.9 - $6,956.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.58% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$7,117.2
Nearest resistance

+9.06% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,956.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,378.8
Nearest support

-5.38% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,035.9
Deeper support zone

-7.9% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$5,875.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,218 - $6,539.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,404.7, invalidation $6,808.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 12.7 / 46.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,893.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,615.6 / $6,228.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$160.76 (2.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.02%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,877.9 / $6,205.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,218 / $6,539.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,956.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,035.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-57.116Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.8 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,404.7, invalidation $6,808.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 12.7 / 46.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,893.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,615.6 / $6,228.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-57.116Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.8 / 9.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$160.76 (2.52%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.02%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,877.9 / $6,205.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,218 / $6,539.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,956.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,035.9Range

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