US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,387.4 and stabilize above resistance $6,956.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,956.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.3, MACD -30.469

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $221.9 (3.58%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,293.8Bearish
EMA 21$6,387.4Bearish
EMA 50$6,418.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.3 · MACD -30.469

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $221.9 · BB 8.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.1 · OBV -92.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$5,930.4 - $6,956.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.7% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$7,178.4
Nearest resistance

+12.13% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,956.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,204.1
Nearest support

-4.41% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,930.4
Deeper support zone

-7.99% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$5,708.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,982.2 - $6,426

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,930.4, invalidation $6,558.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 21.2 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,521.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,337.9 / $6,443.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$221.9 (3.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.91%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,840.5 / $5,926.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,982.2 / $6,426Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,956.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,930.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-30.469Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 33.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-92.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,930.4, invalidation $6,558.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 21.2 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,521.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,337.9 / $6,443.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-30.469Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 33.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$221.9 (3.58%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.91%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,840.5 / $5,926.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,982.2 / $6,426Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-92.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,956.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,930.4Range

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