US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish61%
12h Downside probability 61%Bearish

NVR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $5,980.5 and stabilize above resistance $6,383.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,383.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.0, MACD 28.103

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $185.43 (3.1%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$5,951.6Bullish
EMA 21$5,980.5Bullish
EMA 50$6,100.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD 28.103

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $185.43 · BB 8.41%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.2 · OBV -29.07%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,601.6 - $6,383.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.78% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$6,568.7
Nearest resistance

+6.68% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,383.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,983.7
Nearest support

-6.39% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,601.6
Deeper support zone

-9.48% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$5,416.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,798.2 - $6,169.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,627.5, invalidation $6,093

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 15.9 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,449.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5,926.3 / $6,064.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$185.43 (3.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.41%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,362.1 / $5,589.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,798.2 / $6,169.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,383.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,601.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

28.103Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.9 / 76.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

54.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.73xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $5,627.5, invalidation $6,093

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 15.9 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,449.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$5,926.3 / $6,064.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

28.103Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

73.9 / 76.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-26.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

54.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$185.43 (3.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.41%

58%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,362.1 / $5,589.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,798.2 / $6,169.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-29.07%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.73xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,383.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,601.6Range

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