US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish66%
1h Downside probability 66%Bearish

NVR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,061.4 and stabilize above resistance $6,266.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,266.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -5.023

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $53.24 (0.89%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,007.2Bearish
EMA 21$6,061.4Bearish
EMA 50$6,133.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -5.023

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $53.24 · BB 3.99%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 70.0 · OBV -0.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$5,948.1 - $6,266.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.44% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$6,320.1
Nearest resistance

+4.56% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,266.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$5,993.9
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$5,948.1
Deeper support zone

-1.65% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$5,894.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$5,940.6 - $6,047.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,200, invalidation $5,948.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 33.9 / 30.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,843.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,083.9 / $6,165.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$53.24 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.99%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,155.4 / $5,960.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,940.6 / $6,047.1Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,266.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,948.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.023Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.2 / 9.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.71xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,200, invalidation $5,948.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 33.9 / 30.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$5,843.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,083.9 / $6,165.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.023Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.2 / 9.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-85.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$53.24 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.99%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,155.4 / $5,960.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$5,940.6 / $6,047.1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.43%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.71xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,266.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$5,948.1Range

Related Forecasts