US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $6,429.5 and stabilize above resistance $6,561.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $6,561.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.6, MACD -2.601

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $39.25 (0.62%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,390.1Bearish
EMA 21$6,429.5Bearish
EMA 50$6,498.7Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.6 · MACD -2.601

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $39.25 · BB 3.42%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.5 · OBV -9.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$6,318.9 - $6,561.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.48% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$6,601
Nearest resistance

+2.87% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,561.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,378.8
Nearest support

-0.94% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,318.9
Deeper support zone

-1.55% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$6,279.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,339.6 - $6,418

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,318.9, invalidation $6,478

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 24.5 / 39.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,271.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,419.4 / $6,563.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$39.25 (0.62%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.42%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,498.4 / $6,355.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,339.6 / $6,418Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,561.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,318.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.601Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.7 / 30.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,318.9, invalidation $6,478

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.6 / 24.5 / 39.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,271.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,419.4 / $6,563.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.601Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.7 / 30.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$39.25 (0.62%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.42%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,498.4 / $6,355.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,339.6 / $6,418Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,561.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,318.9Range

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