US stock / ETF

NVR, Inc.

NVR · NYSE · USD

1 hourBullish54%
1h Upside probability 54%Bullish

NVR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $6,111.2 and reclaim $6,558.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $6,111.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 47.0, MACD 6.950

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $50.81 (0.82%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$6,181.8Bullish
EMA 21$6,214.6Bearish
EMA 50$6,280.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD 6.950

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $50.81 · BB 3.63%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 63.1 · OBV 1.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$6,111.2 - $6,558.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.54% · 8.0 ATR above latest close

$6,609.6
Nearest resistance

+5.72% · 7.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$6,558.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$6,204.1
Nearest support

-1.5% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$6,111.2
Deeper support zone

-2.32% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$6,060.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$6,153.3 - $6,254.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,120, invalidation $6,293.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 31.1 / 23.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,035.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,245.7 / $6,335Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$50.81 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.63%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,323.6 / $6,099.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,153.3 / $6,254.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,558.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,111.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.950Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.56xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $6,120, invalidation $6,293.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.7 / 31.1 / 23.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$6,035.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$6,245.7 / $6,335Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.950Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.5 / 37.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

10.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$50.81 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.63%

53%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$6,323.6 / $6,099.4Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$6,153.3 / $6,254.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.56xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$6,558.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$6,111.2Range

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