US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVDA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $218.74 and stabilize above resistance $227.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $227.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.3, MACD -0.641

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.5 (1.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$216.66Bearish
EMA 21$218.74Bearish
EMA 50$218.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.3 · MACD -0.641

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.5 · BB 6.58%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 6.6 · OBV -210.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$213.02 - $227.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.06% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$230.25
Nearest resistance

+5.9% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$227.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$215.07
Nearest support

-0.95% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$213.02
Deeper support zone

-2.12% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$210.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$212.57 - $217.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.02, invalidation $218.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.6 / 4.4 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$207.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.4 / $220.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.58%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.41 / $213.89Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.57 / $217.57Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$227.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.641Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 23.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

6.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-210.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.02, invalidation $218.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

58.6 / 4.4 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$207.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.4 / $220.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.641Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 23.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-118.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.5 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.58%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.41 / $213.89Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.57 / $217.57Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

6.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-210.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$227.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.02Range

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