US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVDA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $224.26 and stabilize above resistance $243.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $243.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.4, MACD -0.812

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.15 (1.45%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$219.81Bearish
EMA 21$224.26Bearish
EMA 50$227.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.4 · MACD -0.812

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.15 · BB 8.77%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 35.9 · OBV -38.05%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$213.12 - $243.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.34% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

$246.52
Nearest resistance

+11.89% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$243.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$217.51
Nearest support

-2.02% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$213.12
Deeper support zone

-3.47% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$209.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$214.36 - $220.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.12, invalidation $229.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.1 / 10.6 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$223.55 / $228.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.15 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.77%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$231 / $217.01Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.36 / $220.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.12Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.812Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.3 / 26.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.12, invalidation $229.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.1 / 10.6 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.56Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$223.55 / $228.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.812Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.3 / 26.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.15 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.77%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$231 / $217.01Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.36 / $220.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-38.05%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.27xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.12Range

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