US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

NVDA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $205.1 and stabilize above resistance $214.81.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $214.81 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.7, MACD -0.774

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.95 (1.48%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$202.3Bearish
EMA 21$205.1Bearish
EMA 50$208.25Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.7 · MACD -0.774

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.95 · BB 8.08%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.1 · OBV -39.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$197.32 - $214.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.65% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$217.76
Nearest resistance

+8.17% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$214.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$198.59
Nearest support

-0.64% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$197.32
Deeper support zone

-2.12% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$194.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$195.64 - $201.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.98, invalidation $203.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.7 / 31.6 / 31.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$189.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.65 / $214.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.95 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.08%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$211.48 / $198.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$195.64 / $201.53Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.774Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.6 / 6.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.98, invalidation $203.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.7 / 31.6 / 31.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$189.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.65 / $214.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.774Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.6 / 6.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.95 (1.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.08%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$211.48 / $198.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$195.64 / $201.53Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$214.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.32Range

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