US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

NVDA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $172.85 and stabilize above resistance $210.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $210.88 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.8, MACD 0.241

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.2 (4.33%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$166.08Bullish
EMA 21$172.85Bearish
EMA 50$185.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD 0.241

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $7.2 · BB 17.92%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.4 · OBV 19.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$148.8 - $210.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.28% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$218.08
Nearest resistance

+26.94% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$210.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$166.12
Nearest support

-10.43% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$148.8
Deeper support zone

-14.76% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$141.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$158.92 - $173.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $148.8, invalidation $173.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 12.0 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$141.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.41 / $182.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.2 (4.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.92%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.89 / $156.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$158.92 / $173.32Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$210.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.241Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.5 / 48.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $148.8, invalidation $173.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 12.0 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$141.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.41 / $182.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.241Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.5 / 48.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-68.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.2 (4.33%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.92%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$187.89 / $156.74Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$158.92 / $173.32Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.46%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.91xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$210.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

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