US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

NVDA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $216.5 and stabilize above resistance $229.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $229.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.6, MACD -0.306

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.15 (1.49%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$213.91Bearish
EMA 21$216.5Bearish
EMA 50$220.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.6 · MACD -0.306

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.15 · BB 5.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 47.9 · OBV -9.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$210.18 - $229.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.99% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$232.95
Nearest resistance

+8.5% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$229.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$211.79
Nearest support

-0.76% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$210.18
Deeper support zone

-2.25% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$207.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$208.64 - $214.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.26, invalidation $215.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 13.3 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.34 / $225.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.15 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.69%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.35 / $210.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.64 / $214.94Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$229.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$210.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.306Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.1 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.26, invalidation $215.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.5 / 13.3 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.34 / $225.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.306Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.1 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.15 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.69%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.35 / $210.3Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.64 / $214.94Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$229.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$210.18Range

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