US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVDA 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $221.97 and stabilize above resistance $234.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $234.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.3, MACD -0.883

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.22 (1.02%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$219.82Bearish
EMA 21$221.97Bearish
EMA 50$221.79Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.3 · MACD -0.883

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.22 · BB 8.53%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 21.4 · OBV -17.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$215.1 - $234.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.48% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$236.88
Nearest resistance

+7.46% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$234.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.37
Nearest support

-1.5% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$215.1
Deeper support zone

-2.51% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$212.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.15 - $220.59

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $217.29, invalidation $222

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.2 / 9.0 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$223.31 / $219.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.22 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.53%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.64 / $217.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.15 / $220.59Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$215.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.883Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 12.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $217.29, invalidation $222

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.2 / 9.0 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$211.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$223.31 / $219.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.883Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 12.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.22 (1.02%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.53%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.64 / $217.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.15 / $220.59Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$215.1Range

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