US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

NVDA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $201.99 and stabilize above resistance $213.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $213.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.5, MACD -0.247

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.77 (0.89%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$199.5Bearish
EMA 21$201.99Bearish
EMA 50$204.66Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.5 · MACD -0.247

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.77 · BB 7.06%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 32.9 · OBV -12.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$197.32 - $213.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.65% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$215.75
Nearest resistance

+7.75% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$213.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$198.59
Nearest support

-0.64% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$197.32
Deeper support zone

-1.53% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$195.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$196.81 - $200.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $198.6, invalidation $201.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.9 / 22.1 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.55 / $205.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.77 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.06%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$205.05 / $198.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.81 / $200.36Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$213.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.247Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.2 / 11.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $198.6, invalidation $201.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.9 / 22.1 / 36.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.55 / $205.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.247Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.2 / 11.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.77 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.06%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$205.05 / $198.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$196.81 / $200.36Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$213.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.32Range

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