US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish81%
1h Downside probability 81%Bearish

NVDA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $219.82 and stabilize above resistance $224.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $224.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD 0.074

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.46 (0.67%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$219.25Bearish
EMA 21$219.82Bearish
EMA 50$221.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD 0.074

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.46 · BB 1.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 28.9 · OBV -0.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$217.29 - $224.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.42% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$225.84
Nearest resistance

+2.75% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$224.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.37
Nearest support

-0.49% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$217.29
Deeper support zone

-1.16% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$215.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.91 - $219.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222, invalidation $218.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 19.5 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$220.25 / $221.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.46 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.87%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.96 / $216.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.91 / $219.83Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$217.29Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.074Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.9 / 26.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.35xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222, invalidation $218.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.0 / 19.5 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$220.25 / $221.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.074Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.9 / 26.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.46 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.87%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.96 / $216.58Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.91 / $219.83Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.35xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$217.29Range

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