US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

NVDA 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $216.61 and stabilize above resistance $219.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $219.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -0.155

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.51 (0.7%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$215.69Bearish
EMA 21$216.61Bearish
EMA 50$218.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -0.155

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.51 · BB 2.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 13.2 · OBV -0.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$213.02 - $219.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.93% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$221.38
Nearest resistance

+2.23% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$219.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$215.07
Nearest support

-0.95% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$213.02
Deeper support zone

-1.65% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$211.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$213.57 - $216.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.74, invalidation $214.64

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 15.4 / 42.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.55 / $217.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.51 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.07%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$219.28 / $213.83Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.57 / $216.58Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.155Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 39.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.74, invalidation $214.64

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 15.4 / 42.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.55 / $217.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.155Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.8 / 39.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-124.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.51 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.07%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$219.28 / $213.83Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.57 / $216.58Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.02Range

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