US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish59%
Monthly Upside probability 59%Bullish

NVDA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $61.65 and reclaim $243.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $61.65 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -4.261

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.56 (20.8%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$196.39Bearish
EMA 21$178.1Bearish
EMA 50$131.95Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -4.261

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $34.56 · BB 59.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.5 · OBV 8.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$61.65 - $243.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.24% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$277.93
Nearest resistance

+46.44% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$243.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$166.19
Nearest support

-62.9% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$61.65
Deeper support zone

-83.7% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$27.09
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$131.63 - $200.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $236.54, invalidation $164.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.5 / 21.3 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.54 / $127.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.56 (20.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.17%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.35 / $106.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$131.63 / $200.75Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.261Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 52.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $236.54, invalidation $164.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.5 / 21.3 / 16.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.54 / $127.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.261Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 52.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-28.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.56 (20.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 59.17%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.35 / $106.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$131.63 / $200.75Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$61.65Range

Related Forecasts