US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish91%
Monthly Upside probability 91%Bullish

NVDA 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $40.87 and reclaim $236.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $40.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 65.7, MACD -1.313

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $28.9 (14.49%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$194.42Bullish
EMA 21$169.94Bullish
EMA 50$122.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.7 · MACD -1.313

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $28.9 · BB 75.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.7 · OBV 11.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$40.87 - $236.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.07% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$265.44
Nearest resistance

+18.58% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$236.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$199.48
Nearest support

-79.51% · 5.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$40.87
Deeper support zone

-94% · 6.5 ATR below latest close

$11.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$170.58 - $228.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $236.54, invalidation $164.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 24.7 / 7.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.99 / $123.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.9 (14.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.83%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$231.59 / $112.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.58 / $228.37Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$40.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.313Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.4 / 64.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $236.54, invalidation $164.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 24.7 / 7.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.99 / $123.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.313Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.4 / 64.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.9 (14.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 75.83%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$231.59 / $112.24Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.58 / $228.37Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

11.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$40.87Range

Related Forecasts