US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish76%
Daily Downside probability 76%Bearish

NVDA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $194.41 and stabilize above resistance $243.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $243.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 25.3, MACD -3.953

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.8 (6.5%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$177.55Bearish
EMA 21$194.41Bearish
EMA 50$207.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 25.3 · MACD -3.953

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.8 · BB 38.73%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 19.7 · OBV -2.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$148.8 - $243.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.94% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$254.17
Nearest resistance

+46.44% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$243.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$166.19
Nearest support

-10.46% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$148.8
Deeper support zone

-16.96% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$138
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$155.39 - $176.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.92, invalidation $177.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.2 / 5.4 / 54.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$185.17 / $196.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.8 (6.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.73%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.29 / $168.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.39 / $176.99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.953Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 21.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.92, invalidation $177.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

67.2 / 5.4 / 54.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$120.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$185.17 / $196.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

25.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.953Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.4 / 21.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.8 (6.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 38.73%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.29 / $168.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.39 / $176.99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

19.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

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