US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish78%
Daily Downside probability 78%Bearish

NVDA 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $209.49 and stabilize above resistance $236.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $236.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.5, MACD -1.024

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.59 (3.79%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$206.97Bearish
EMA 21$209.49Bearish
EMA 50$206.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.5 · MACD -1.024

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.59 · BB 12.19%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.2 · OBV -3.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$196.03 - $236.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.02% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$244.13
Nearest resistance

+18.23% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$236.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$200.07
Nearest support

-2.02% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$196.03
Deeper support zone

-5.81% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$188.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$192.48 - $207.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.71, invalidation $203.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 9.3 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$181.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.97 / $208.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.59 (3.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.19%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.98 / $195.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.48 / $207.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$196.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 24.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.71, invalidation $203.47

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.2 / 9.3 / 37.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$181.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.97 / $208.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.024Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 24.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.59 (3.79%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.19%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.98 / $195.85Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.48 / $207.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$196.03Range

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