US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

NVDA 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $207.29 and stabilize above resistance $243.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $243.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.4, MACD -6.277

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.43 (10.49%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$200.07Bearish
EMA 21$207.29Bearish
EMA 50$198.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.4 · MACD -6.277

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.43 · BB 30.20%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.2 · OBV -1.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$148.8 - $243.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.93% · 5.4 ATR above latest close

$260.8
Nearest resistance

+46.44% · 4.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$243.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$166.19
Nearest support

-10.46% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$148.8
Deeper support zone

-20.95% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$131.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$148.76 - $183.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $243.37, invalidation $209.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 11.3 / 39.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$196.09 / $196.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.43 (10.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.20%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$243.13 / $171.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.76 / $183.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.277Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 18.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-265.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.53xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $243.37, invalidation $209.13

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.2 / 11.3 / 39.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$196.09 / $196.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.277Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.4 / 18.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-265.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.43 (10.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.20%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$243.13 / $171.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.76 / $183.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.53xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

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