US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish66%
3M Upside probability 66%Bullish

NVDA 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $3.69 and reclaim $236.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $3.69 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 80.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $43.98 (22.05%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$167.68Bullish
EMA 21$108.48Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 80.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $43.98 · BB 280.14%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.3 · OBV 46.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$3.69 - $236.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.63% · 1.8 ATR above latest close

$280.52
Nearest resistance

+18.58% · 0.8 ATR above · 29-bar high

$236.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$199.48
Nearest support

-98.15% · 4.5 ATR below · 29-bar low

$3.69
Deeper support zone

-120.2% · 5.5 ATR below latest close

-$40.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$155.5 - $243.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $236.54, invalidation $164.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.5 / 45.0 / 5.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.42 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$43.98 (22.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 280.14%

88%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.36 / $7.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.5 / $243.45Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

80.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.4 / 82.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

112.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

46.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $236.54, invalidation $164.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

76.5 / 45.0 / 5.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.24Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$141.42 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

84%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

80.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.4 / 82.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

112.2Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$43.98 (22.05%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 280.14%

88%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.36 / $7.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.5 / $243.45Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

46.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$3.69Range

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