US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish66%
12h Downside probability 66%Bearish

NVDA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $222.12 and stabilize above resistance $234.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $234.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -1.078

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.46 (2.04%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$221.6Bearish
EMA 21$222.12Bearish
EMA 50$219.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -1.078

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.46 · BB 8.63%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.6 · OBV -9.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$203.5 - $234.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.5% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$239.12
Nearest resistance

+7.46% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$234.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.37
Nearest support

-6.81% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$203.5
Deeper support zone

-8.85% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$199.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$213.91 - $222.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.66, invalidation $217.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 31.8 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$208.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.53 / $219.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.46 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.63%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.16 / $214.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.91 / $222.83Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$203.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.078Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.66, invalidation $217.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.3 / 31.8 / 20.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$208.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.53 / $219.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.078Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.4 / 16.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.46 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.63%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.16 / $214.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.91 / $222.83Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$203.5Range

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