US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish80%
12h Downside probability 80%Bearish

NVDA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $208.24 and stabilize above resistance $236.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $236.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -1.360

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.43 (3.74%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$204.72Bearish
EMA 21$208.24Bearish
EMA 50$206.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -1.360

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.43 · BB 13.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.9 · OBV -49.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$197.32 - $236.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.85% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$243.97
Nearest resistance

+19.11% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$236.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$198.59
Nearest support

-0.64% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$197.32
Deeper support zone

-4.38% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$189.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$191.16 - $206.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.98, invalidation $203.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 11.4 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$181.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.23 / $210.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.43 (3.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.10%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$220.42 / $195.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$191.16 / $206.01Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.360Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $213.98, invalidation $203.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 11.4 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$181.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.23 / $210.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.360Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.43 (3.74%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.10%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$220.42 / $195.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$191.16 / $206.01Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-49.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.27xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$236.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$197.32Range

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