US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish78%
12h Downside probability 78%Bearish

NVDA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $229.54 and stabilize above resistance $243.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $243.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.1, MACD -1.679

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.21 (1.9%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$227.26Bearish
EMA 21$229.54Bearish
EMA 50$227.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD -1.679

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.21 · BB 9.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.6 · OBV -8.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$219.64 - $243.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.7% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$247.58
Nearest resistance

+9.81% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$243.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.64
Nearest support

-0.9% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$219.64
Deeper support zone

-2.8% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$215.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$217.43 - $225.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $243.37, invalidation $222.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 12.9 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.82 / $226.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.21 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.36%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$238.78 / $220.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.43 / $225.84Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.679Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 20.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $243.37, invalidation $222.75

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 12.9 / 42.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.82 / $226.15Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.679Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 20.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.21 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.36%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$238.78 / $220.26Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.43 / $225.84Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$219.64Range

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