US stock / ETF

NVIDIA

NVDA · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish84%
12h Downside probability 84%Bearish

NVDA 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $185.12 and stabilize above resistance $222.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $222.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.4, MACD -2.131

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.95 (6.59%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$171.37Bearish
EMA 21$185.12Bearish
EMA 50$200.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.4 · MACD -2.131

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.95 · BB 33.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.1 · OBV -6.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$148.8 - $222.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.52% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$233.44
Nearest resistance

+33.93% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$222.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$166.12
Nearest support

-10.43% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$148.8
Deeper support zone

-17.02% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$137.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$155.17 - $177.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179, invalidation $183.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.7 / 3.7 / 50.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$127.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.64 / $192.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.95 (6.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.90%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.44 / $162.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.17 / $177.07Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.131Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.1 / 14.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.83xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179, invalidation $183.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.7 / 3.7 / 50.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$127.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$176.64 / $192.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.131Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.1 / 14.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.95 (6.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.90%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.44 / $162.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.17 / $177.07Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.83xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.8Range

Related Forecasts