US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish62%
Daily Downside probability 62%Bearish

MSFT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $528.24 and stabilize above resistance $559.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $559.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -2.104

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $15.99 (3.06%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$528.05Bearish
EMA 21$528.24Bearish
EMA 50$516.03Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -2.104

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $15.99 · BB 6.31%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.6 · OBV -25.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$502.4 - $559.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.97% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$575.14
Nearest resistance

+6.91% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$559.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$523
Nearest support

-3.94% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$502.4
Deeper support zone

-7% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$486.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$507.01 - $538.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $559.15, invalidation $524.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 22.5 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$474.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$533.49 / $522.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$15.99 (3.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.31%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$562.3 / $494.56Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$507.01 / $538.99Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$559.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$502.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.104Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.6 / 27.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $559.15, invalidation $524.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 22.5 / 31.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$474.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$533.49 / $522.58Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.104Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.6 / 27.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$15.99 (3.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.31%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$562.3 / $494.56Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$507.01 / $538.99Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$559.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$502.4Range

Related Forecasts