US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

MSFT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $400.27 and stabilize above resistance $466.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $466.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.8, MACD -4.725

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.7 (2.86%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$385.87Bearish
EMA 21$400.27Bearish
EMA 50$407.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.8 · MACD -4.725

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.7 · BB 23.69%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 6.7 · OBV -26.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$370.82 - $466.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.56% · 9.6 ATR above latest close

$476.97
Nearest resistance

+24.69% · 8.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$466.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$373.93
Nearest support

-0.83% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$370.82
Deeper support zone

-3.69% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$360.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$363.23 - $384.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $382.29, invalidation $401.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 6.8 / 55.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$344.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$403.22 / $416.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.7 (2.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.69%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$419.64 / $379.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.23 / $384.63Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$466.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$370.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.725Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 4.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

6.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $382.29, invalidation $401.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 6.8 / 55.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$344.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$403.22 / $416.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.725Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.5 / 4.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.7 (2.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.69%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$419.64 / $379.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.23 / $384.63Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

6.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.23%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$466.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$370.82Range

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