US stock / ETF

Microsoft

MSFT · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayRange52%
Daily Range probability 96%Range

MSFT 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $349.2 - $466.32 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.6, MACD 2.471

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.89 (3.09%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$384.76Bullish
EMA 21$386.7Bearish
EMA 50$395.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD 2.471

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $11.89 · BB 11.47%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 70.1 · OBV 136.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$349.2 - $466.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.15% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$478.21
Nearest resistance

+21.06% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$466.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$385.2
Nearest support

-9.35% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$349.2
Deeper support zone

-12.43% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$337.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$373.31 - $397.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $391.91, invalidation $373.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 28.8 / 27.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$356.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.9 / $407.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

69%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.89 (3.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.47%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$404.68 / $367.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$373.31 / $397.09Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$466.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.471Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.6 / 80.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

31.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

136.30%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $391.91, invalidation $373.35

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 28.8 / 27.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$356.13Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$386.9 / $407.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

69%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.471Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.6 / 80.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

31.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.89 (3.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.47%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$404.68 / $367.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$373.31 / $397.09Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

136.30%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$466.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$349.2Range

Related Forecasts