US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish86%
Daily Downside probability 86%Bearish

LITE 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $888.12 and stabilize above resistance $1,085.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,085 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.1, MACD -8.109

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $75.11 (9.08%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$867.76Bearish
EMA 21$888.12Bearish
EMA 50$868.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.1 · MACD -8.109

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $75.11 · BB 21.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 27.4 · OBV -3.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$776.92 - $1,085

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.18% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$1,160.1
Nearest resistance

+31.11% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,085
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$827.59
Nearest support

-6.12% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$776.92
Deeper support zone

-15.2% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$701.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$752.48 - $902.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776.92, invalidation $996.96

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.3 / 13.7 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$637.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$908.63 / $930.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$75.11 (9.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.66%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,018.4 / $756.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$752.48 / $902.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.109Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 25.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776.92, invalidation $996.96

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.3 / 13.7 / 26.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$637.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$908.63 / $930.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.109Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.7 / 25.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$75.11 (9.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.66%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,018.4 / $756.38Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$752.48 / $902.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.81%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776.92Range

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