US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

LITE 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $720.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,143.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,143 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.1, MACD -7.161

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $78.23 (12.52%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$633.06Bearish
EMA 21$720.7Bearish
EMA 50$807.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.1 · MACD -7.161

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $78.23 · BB 69.43%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV -3.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$506.69 - $1,143

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+95.51% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$1,221.2
Nearest resistance

+82.98% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,143
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$624.65
Nearest support

-18.88% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$506.69
Deeper support zone

-31.41% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$428.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$546.42 - $702.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $506.69, invalidation $678.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 30.1 / 40.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$403.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$719.09 / $824.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$78.23 (12.52%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.43%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$857.73 / $572.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$546.42 / $702.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$506.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $506.69, invalidation $678.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 30.1 / 40.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$403.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$719.09 / $824.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.161Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$78.23 (12.52%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 69.43%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$857.73 / $572.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$546.42 / $702.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$506.69Range

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