US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish89%
Daily Downside probability 89%Bearish

LITE 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $893.57 and stabilize above resistance $1,143.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,143 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.5, MACD -31.122

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $72.77 (9.62%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$820.24Bearish
EMA 21$893.57Bearish
EMA 50$905.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.5 · MACD -31.122

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $72.77 · BB 53.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 18.5 · OBV -8.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$736.01 - $1,143

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+60.78% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$1,215.8
Nearest resistance

+51.16% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,143
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$756.17
Nearest support

-2.67% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$736.01
Deeper support zone

-12.29% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$663.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$683.4 - $828.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $800, invalidation $878.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 8.9 / 49.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$543.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$897.18 / $939.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$72.77 (9.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.66%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,036.7 / $745.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$683.4 / $828.94Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$736.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-31.122Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 3.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $800, invalidation $878.9

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 8.9 / 49.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$543.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$897.18 / $939.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-31.122Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.0 / 3.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-113.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$72.77 (9.62%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.66%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,036.7 / $745.29Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$683.4 / $828.94Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$736.01Range

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