US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1,114.1 and reclaim $1,511.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1,114.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 67.2, MACD 3.314

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $41.51 (2.84%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,436Bullish
EMA 21$1,383.6Bullish
EMA 50$1,322.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 67.2 · MACD 3.314

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $41.51 · BB 22.30%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.5 · OBV 240.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1,114.1 - $1,511.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.3% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$1,553.1
Nearest resistance

+3.46% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,511.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,461
Nearest support

-23.74% · 8.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,114.1
Deeper support zone

-26.58% · 9.4 ATR below latest close

$1,072.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,419.5 - $1,502.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,511.6, invalidation $1,408

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.6 / 27.0 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,328.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,384.8 / $1,312.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$41.51 (2.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.30%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,466.8 / $1,307.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,419.5 / $1,502.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,511.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,114.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.314Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.3 / 69.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

82.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

240.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,511.6, invalidation $1,408

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.6 / 27.0 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,328.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,384.8 / $1,312.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

86%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.314Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.3 / 69.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

82.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$41.51 (2.84%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.30%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,466.8 / $1,307.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,419.5 / $1,502.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

240.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.74xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,511.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,114.1Range

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