US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish66%
4h Upside probability 66%Bullish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1,167 and reclaim $1,274.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1,167 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.6, MACD 6.318

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $17.58 (1.41%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,217.1Bullish
EMA 21$1,216.9Bullish
EMA 50$1,242.4Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.6 · MACD 6.318

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $17.58 · BB 5.88%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 35.4 · OBV -10.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,167 - $1,274

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.93% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$1,291.6
Nearest resistance

+2.52% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,274
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,242.7
Nearest support

-6.09% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,167
Deeper support zone

-7.51% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$1,149.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,225.1 - $1,260.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,167, invalidation $1,228.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.1 / 26.4 / 23.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,184.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,208.2 / $1,256Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$17.58 (1.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.88%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,252.5 / $1,180.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,225.1 / $1,260.3Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,274Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,167Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.318Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

100.0 / 81.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

0.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

121.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,167, invalidation $1,228.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.1 / 26.4 / 23.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,184.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,208.2 / $1,256Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.318Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

100.0 / 81.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

0.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

121.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$17.58 (1.41%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.88%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,252.5 / $1,180.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,225.1 / $1,260.3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,274Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,167Range

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