US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1,302.1 and reclaim $1,455.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1,302.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 71.9, MACD 6.907

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $24.76 (1.72%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,402.8Bullish
EMA 21$1,371.3Bullish
EMA 50$1,328.9Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 71.9 · MACD 6.907

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $24.76 · BB 9.74%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 80.9 · OBV 550.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1,302.1 - $1,455.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.75% · 1.6 ATR above latest close

$1,480.4
Nearest resistance

+1.04% · 0.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,455.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,440.7
Nearest support

-9.62% · 5.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,302.1
Deeper support zone

-11.34% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$1,277.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,415.9 - $1,465.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,388.1, invalidation $1,331

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 43.7 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,363.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,389.3 / $1,294.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$24.76 (1.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.74%

106%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,424.9 / $1,321.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,415.9 / $1,465.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,455.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,302.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.907Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.4 / 89.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

216.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

80.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

550.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.87xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,388.1, invalidation $1,331

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 43.7 / 16.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,363.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,389.3 / $1,294.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

89%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.907Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.4 / 89.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

216.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$24.76 (1.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.74%

106%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,424.9 / $1,321.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,415.9 / $1,465.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

80.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

550.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.87xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,455.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,302.1Range

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