US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,509 and stabilize above resistance $1,696.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,696.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.1, MACD -13.597

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $67 (4.73%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,464.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,509Bearish
EMA 50$1,532.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.1 · MACD -13.597

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $67 · BB 17.86%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.3 · OBV 0.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,393.7 - $1,696.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.56% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$1,763.9
Nearest resistance

+19.82% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,696.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,416.2
Nearest support

-1.58% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,393.7
Deeper support zone

-6.32% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$1,326.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,349.2 - $1,483.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,587.1, invalidation $1,442.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 15.8 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,240.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,510.2 / $1,570Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$67 (4.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.86%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,631.5 / $1,382.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,349.2 / $1,483.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,696.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,393.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.597Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 8.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,587.1, invalidation $1,442.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.0 / 15.8 / 37.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,240.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,510.2 / $1,570Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-13.597Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 8.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-131.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$67 (4.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.86%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,631.5 / $1,382.1Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,349.2 / $1,483.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,696.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,393.7Range

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