US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish89%
4h Downside probability 89%Bearish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,213.1 and stabilize above resistance $1,324.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,324.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.6, MACD -8.283

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $30.98 (2.71%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,172.7Bearish
EMA 21$1,213.1Bearish
EMA 50$1,260.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.6 · MACD -8.283

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $30.98 · BB 16.69%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 22.5 · OBV -89.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,131.4 - $1,324.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.39% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$1,355.5
Nearest resistance

+15.69% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,324.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,145
Nearest support

-1.18% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,131.4
Deeper support zone

-3.89% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$1,100.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,114 - $1,175.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,287.3, invalidation $1,131.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.6 / 6.8 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,046.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,209 / $1,299.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$30.98 (2.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.69%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,274.9 / $1,146.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,114 / $1,175.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,324.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,131.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.283Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-89.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,287.3, invalidation $1,131.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.6 / 6.8 / 36.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,046.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,209 / $1,299.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.283Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$30.98 (2.71%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.69%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,274.9 / $1,146.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,114 / $1,175.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-89.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,324.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,131.4Range

Related Forecasts