US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish61%
4h Downside probability 61%Bearish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,336.6 and stabilize above resistance $1,465.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,465 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.8, MACD 0.466

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $27.89 (2.12%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,319Bearish
EMA 21$1,336.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,355.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD 0.466

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $27.89 · BB 13.39%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 53.8 · OBV 17.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,267.8 - $1,465

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.42% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$1,492.9
Nearest resistance

+11.3% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,465
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,316.3
Nearest support

-3.69% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,267.8
Deeper support zone

-5.8% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$1,239.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,288.4 - $1,344.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,345, invalidation $1,283

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.5 / 12.5 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,236.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,336.1 / $1,366.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$27.89 (2.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.39%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,388.3 / $1,282.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,288.4 / $1,344.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,465Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,267.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.466Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.8 / 47.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.44%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,345, invalidation $1,283

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.5 / 12.5 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,236.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,336.1 / $1,366.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.466Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.8 / 47.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$27.89 (2.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.39%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,388.3 / $1,282.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,288.4 / $1,344.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.44%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,465Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,267.8Range

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