US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish54%
4h Downside probability 54%Bearish

MPWR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,343.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,450.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,450 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.3, MACD 0.989

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $35.79 (2.72%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,349.4Bearish
EMA 21$1,343.9Bearish
EMA 50$1,359.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.3 · MACD 0.989

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $35.79 · BB 10.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 59.4 · OBV -5.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,224.1 - $1,450

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.01% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$1,485.8
Nearest resistance

+10.29% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,450
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,314.7
Nearest support

-6.89% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,224.1
Deeper support zone

-9.62% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$1,188.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,278.9 - $1,350.5

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,450, invalidation $1,277.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.5 / 34.6 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,203Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,350.4 / $1,340.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$35.79 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.20%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,421.8 / $1,266.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,278.9 / $1,350.5Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,450Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,224.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.989Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 41.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,450, invalidation $1,277.6

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.5 / 34.6 / 36.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,203Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,350.4 / $1,340.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.989Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.5 / 41.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$35.79 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.20%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,421.8 / $1,266.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,278.9 / $1,350.5Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,450Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,224.1Range

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