US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

MPWR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,330.8 and stabilize above resistance $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,714.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD -39.610

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $163.4 (13.24%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,302.9Bearish
EMA 21$1,330.8Bearish
EMA 50$1,215.1Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD -39.610

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $163.4 · BB 36.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.2 · OBV -15.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$988 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.09% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$1,877.5
Nearest resistance

+38.85% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,234.5
Nearest support

-19.97% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$988
Deeper support zone

-33.2% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$824.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,071.1 - $1,397.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,231, invalidation $1,568.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 10.5 / 19.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$786.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,363.6 / $1,272.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$163.4 (13.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.72%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,614.8 / $1,050.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,071.1 / $1,397.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$988Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-39.610Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.9 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,231, invalidation $1,568.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 10.5 / 19.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$786.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,363.6 / $1,272.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-39.610Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.9 / 8.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$163.4 (13.24%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.72%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,614.8 / $1,050.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,071.1 / $1,397.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.27%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$988Range

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