US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekRange52%
Weekly Range probability 96%Range

MPWR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $864.45 - $1,714.1 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.1, MACD -39.244

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $179.47 (13.65%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,394.5Bearish
EMA 21$1,354.1Bearish
EMA 50$1,176.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.1 · MACD -39.244

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $179.47 · BB 60.81%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.9 · OBV -5.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$864.45 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.03% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$1,893.6
Nearest resistance

+30.38% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,314.7
Nearest support

-34.25% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$864.45
Deeper support zone

-47.9% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$684.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,135.2 - $1,494.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,714.1, invalidation $1,412.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.8 / 21.1 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$805.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,412.1 / $1,208.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$179.47 (13.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.81%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,741 / $980.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,135.2 / $1,494.2Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$864.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-39.244Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.1 / 32.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,714.1, invalidation $1,412.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.8 / 21.1 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$805.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,412.1 / $1,208.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-39.244Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.1 / 32.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$179.47 (13.65%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.81%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,741 / $980.37Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,135.2 / $1,494.2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$864.45Range

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