US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish55%
Weekly Downside probability 55%Bearish

MPWR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,356.4 and stabilize above resistance $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,714.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.4, MACD -37.633

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $179.47 (13.39%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,400.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,356.4Bearish
EMA 50$1,177.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD -37.633

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $179.47 · BB 60.66%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.0 · OBV -5.97%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$864.45 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.32% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$1,893.6
Nearest resistance

+27.92% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,339.9
Nearest support

-35.49% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$864.45
Deeper support zone

-48.88% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$684.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,160.5 - $1,519.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,714.1, invalidation $1,412.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.8 / 21.1 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$805.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,412.1 / $1,208.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$179.47 (13.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.66%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,743.4 / $982.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,160.5 / $1,519.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$864.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-37.633Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.4 / 33.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,714.1, invalidation $1,412.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.8 / 21.1 / 19.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$805.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,412.1 / $1,208.2Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-37.633Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.4 / 33.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-5.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$179.47 (13.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 60.66%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,743.4 / $982.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,160.5 / $1,519.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.97%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$864.45Range

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