US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish81%
Weekly Downside probability 81%Bearish

MPWR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,311.1 and stabilize above resistance $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,714.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.8, MACD -25.690

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $139.7 (12.25%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,276.2Bearish
EMA 21$1,311.1Bearish
EMA 50$1,231.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.8 · MACD -25.690

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $139.7 · BB 32.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.9 · OBV -23.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$988 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.6% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$1,853.8
Nearest resistance

+50.34% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,140.1
Nearest support

-13.34% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$988
Deeper support zone

-25.6% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$848.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,000.4 - $1,279.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,133.8, invalidation $1,491.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 24.1 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$820.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,364.7 / $1,273.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$139.7 (12.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.90%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,568.9 / $1,053.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,000.4 / $1,279.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$988Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.690Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 26.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,133.8, invalidation $1,491.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 24.1 / 22.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$820.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,364.7 / $1,273.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-25.690Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.1 / 26.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$139.7 (12.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.90%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,568.9 / $1,053.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,000.4 / $1,279.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$988Range

Related Forecasts