US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish71%
Weekly Downside probability 71%Bearish

MPWR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,361.7 and stabilize above resistance $1,714.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,714.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -30.779

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $187 (14.21%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,377.6Bearish
EMA 21$1,361.7Bearish
EMA 50$1,212.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -30.779

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $187 · BB 31.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.8 · OBV -12.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$906.33 - $1,714.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+44.43% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$1,901.1
Nearest resistance

+30.22% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,714.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,316.3
Nearest support

-31.14% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$906.33
Deeper support zone

-45.35% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$719.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,129.3 - $1,503.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,231, invalidation $1,568.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 13.7 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$798.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,382 / $1,257.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$187 (14.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.68%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,732.1 / $999.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,129.3 / $1,503.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$906.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-30.779Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 29.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,231, invalidation $1,568.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.5 / 13.7 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$798.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,382 / $1,257.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-30.779Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.7 / 29.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-75.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$187 (14.21%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.68%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,732.1 / $999.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,129.3 / $1,503.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,714.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$906.33Range

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