US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish64%
Daily Downside probability 64%Bearish

MSTR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $150.13 and stabilize above resistance $171.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $171.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.0, MACD -3.176

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.49 (5.93%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$150.72Bearish
EMA 21$150.13Bearish
EMA 50$139.17Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.0 · MACD -3.176

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.49 · BB 16.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.1 · OBV -56.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$121.38 - $171.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.44% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$179.68
Nearest resistance

+19.51% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$171.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$143.24
Nearest support

-15.26% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.38
Deeper support zone

-21.19% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$112.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$134.75 - $151.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $147.37, invalidation $170.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 15.5 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$151.25 / $131.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.49 (5.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.25%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.67 / $133.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$134.75 / $151.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$171.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.176Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-148.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $147.37, invalidation $170.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 15.5 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$151.25 / $131.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.176Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-148.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.49 (5.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.25%

-4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.67 / $133.27Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$134.75 / $151.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.14%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$171.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.38Range

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