US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish64%
Daily Downside probability 64%Bearish

MSTR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $103.1 and stabilize above resistance $167.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $167 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.2, MACD 2.138

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.97 (8.16%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$95.28Bullish
EMA 21$103.1Bearish
EMA 50$121.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 2.138

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $7.97 · BB 49.53%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.2 · OBV -60.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$81.81 - $167

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.09% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$174.97
Nearest resistance

+70.93% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$167
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.7
Nearest support

-16.26% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$81.81
Deeper support zone

-24.42% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$73.84
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.73 - $105.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.12, invalidation $91.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 35.3 / 28.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.09 / $139.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.97 (8.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.53%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$116.79 / $87.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.73 / $105.67Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$167Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.138Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.3 / 48.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-28.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.12, invalidation $91.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.9 / 35.3 / 28.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$102.09 / $139.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.138Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.3 / 48.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-28.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.97 (8.16%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.53%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$116.79 / $87.83Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.73 / $105.67Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-60.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.37xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$167Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

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