US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MPWR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,252 and stabilize above resistance $1,500.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,500 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.6, MACD -9.970

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $44.94 (3.93%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,202.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,252Bearish
EMA 50$1,287.3Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.6 · MACD -9.970

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $44.94 · BB 18.45%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.4 · OBV -17.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,131.4 - $1,500

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.93% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$1,544.9
Nearest resistance

+31.01% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,500
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,145
Nearest support

-1.18% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,131.4
Deeper support zone

-5.11% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$1,086.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,100 - $1,189.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,287.3, invalidation $1,211.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.9 / 13.2 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,015.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,254.6 / $1,315.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$44.94 (3.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.45%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,340.3 / $1,158.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,100 / $1,189.9Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,500Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,131.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.970Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 7.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,287.3, invalidation $1,211.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

61.9 / 13.2 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,015.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,254.6 / $1,315.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.970Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 7.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-171.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$44.94 (3.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.45%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,340.3 / $1,158.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,100 / $1,189.9Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.38%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,500Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,131.4Range

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