US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MPWR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,354.3 and stabilize above resistance $1,568.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,568.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.1, MACD -9.232

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $43.93 (3.34%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,331Bearish
EMA 21$1,354.3Bearish
EMA 50$1,366.4Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.1 · MACD -9.232

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $43.93 · BB 13.39%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.7 · OBV -50.68%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,252 - $1,568.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.48% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$1,612.1
Nearest resistance

+19.14% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,568.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,316.3
Nearest support

-4.88% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,252
Deeper support zone

-8.22% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$1,208.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,272.4 - $1,360.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,267.8, invalidation $1,448.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.1 / 12.8 / 39.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,181.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,362.3 / $1,397.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$43.93 (3.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.39%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,443 / $1,263.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,272.4 / $1,360.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,568.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,252Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.232Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.8 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.86xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,267.8, invalidation $1,448.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.1 / 12.8 / 39.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,181.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,362.3 / $1,397.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.232Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.8 / 27.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$43.93 (3.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.39%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,443 / $1,263.8Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,272.4 / $1,360.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.68%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.86xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,568.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,252Range

Related Forecasts