US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish78%
12h Downside probability 78%Bearish

MPWR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,531.6 and stabilize above resistance $1,746.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,746.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.0, MACD -19.407

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $113.61 (8.02%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,494.1Bearish
EMA 21$1,531.6Bearish
EMA 50$1,492.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.0 · MACD -19.407

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $113.61 · BB 19.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.0 · OBV -37.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,393.7 - $1,746.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.34% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$1,860
Nearest resistance

+23.32% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,746.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,416.2
Nearest support

-1.58% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,393.7
Deeper support zone

-9.61% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$1,280.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,302.6 - $1,529.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,587.1, invalidation $1,442.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 8.9 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,122.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,550 / $1,538.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$113.61 (8.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.80%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,729.3 / $1,332.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,302.6 / $1,529.8Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,746.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,393.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-19.407Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 20.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,587.1, invalidation $1,442.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 8.9 / 34.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,122.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,550 / $1,538.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-19.407Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.2 / 20.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-175.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$113.61 (8.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.80%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,729.3 / $1,332.1Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,302.6 / $1,529.8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,746.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,393.7Range

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