US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish87%
12h Upside probability 87%Bullish

MPWR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $1,114.1 and reclaim $1,511.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $1,114.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 67.5, MACD 25.150

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $78.1 (5.35%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$1,388.9Bullish
EMA 21$1,317.2Bullish
EMA 50$1,287.5Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 67.5 · MACD 25.150

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $78.1 · BB 30.40%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV 1.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,114.1 - $1,511.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.81% · 1.6 ATR above latest close

$1,589.7
Nearest resistance

+3.46% · 0.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,511.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,461
Nearest support

-23.74% · 4.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,114.1
Deeper support zone

-29.09% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

$1,036
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,382.9 - $1,539.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,511.6, invalidation $1,148.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 31.3 / 29.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,216.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,321.3 / $1,312.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$78.1 (5.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.40%

92%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,465.9 / $1,174.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,382.9 / $1,539.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,511.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,114.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

25.150Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.3 / 83.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

124.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,511.6, invalidation $1,148.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 31.3 / 29.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,216.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,321.3 / $1,312.8Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

25.150Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.3 / 83.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

124.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$78.1 (5.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.40%

92%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,465.9 / $1,174.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,382.9 / $1,539.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,511.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,114.1Range

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