US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish72%
12h Downside probability 72%Bearish

MPWR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,352.2 and stabilize above resistance $1,597.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,597.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.0, MACD 10.598

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $61.36 (4.67%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,344.9Bearish
EMA 21$1,352.2Bearish
EMA 50$1,405.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD 10.598

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $61.36 · BB 11.95%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.1 · OBV -210.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,224.1 - $1,597.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.15% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$1,658.5
Nearest resistance

+21.48% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,597.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,314.7
Nearest support

-6.89% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,224.1
Deeper support zone

-11.56% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$1,162.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,253.3 - $1,376.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,407.1, invalidation $1,277.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 26.9 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,191.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,350.4 / $1,445.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$61.36 (4.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.95%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,461.5 / $1,239.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,253.3 / $1,376.1Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,597.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,224.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

10.598Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.1 / 68.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-210.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,407.1, invalidation $1,277.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.2 / 26.9 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,191.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,350.4 / $1,445.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

45.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

10.598Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.1 / 68.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$61.36 (4.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.95%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,461.5 / $1,239.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,253.3 / $1,376.1Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-210.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,597.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,224.1Range

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