US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish67%
1h Downside probability 67%Bearish

MPWR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,317.1 and stabilize above resistance $1,345.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,345 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.1, MACD 0.019

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $12.38 (0.94%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,315.9Bullish
EMA 21$1,317.1Bearish
EMA 50$1,326.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.1 · MACD 0.019

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.38 · BB 2.83%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 17.8 · OBV -7.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,283 - $1,345

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.12% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$1,357.4
Nearest resistance

+2.18% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,345
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,316.3
Nearest support

-2.53% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,283
Deeper support zone

-3.47% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$1,270.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,303.9 - $1,328.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,345, invalidation $1,297.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.8 / 32.6 / 24.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,279.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,315.1 / $1,306.4Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.38 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.83%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,341.4 / $1,292.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,303.9 / $1,328.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,345Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,283Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.8 / 44.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.97xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,345, invalidation $1,297.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.8 / 32.6 / 24.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,279.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,315.1 / $1,306.4Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.019Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.8 / 44.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.38 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.83%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,341.4 / $1,292.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,303.9 / $1,328.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.97xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,345Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,283Range

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