US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish74%
1h Downside probability 74%Bearish

MPWR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,367 and stabilize above resistance $1,450.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,450 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -9.310

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $17.96 (1.37%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$1,361.3Bearish
EMA 21$1,367Bearish
EMA 50$1,355.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -9.310

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.96 · BB 6.63%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 0.9 · OBV -43.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$1,277.6 - $1,450

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.66% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$1,468
Nearest resistance

+10.29% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,450
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,314.7
Nearest support

-2.82% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,277.6
Deeper support zone

-4.19% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$1,259.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,296.7 - $1,332.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,406, invalidation $1,394.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.8 / 35.0 / 48.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,256.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,375 / $1,363.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$17.96 (1.37%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.63%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,409.6 / $1,325.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,296.7 / $1,332.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,450Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,277.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.310Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 1.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-252.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

0.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,406, invalidation $1,394.1

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.8 / 35.0 / 48.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,256.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,375 / $1,363.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.310Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.3 / 1.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-252.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$17.96 (1.37%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.63%

-22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,409.6 / $1,325.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,296.7 / $1,332.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

0.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-43.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,450Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,277.6Range

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