US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish80%
1h Downside probability 80%Bearish

MPWR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,167.1 and stabilize above resistance $1,285.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,285.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.1, MACD 1.774

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $14.69 (1.28%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,150.6Bearish
EMA 21$1,167.1Bearish
EMA 50$1,198.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.1 · MACD 1.774

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.69 · BB 4.56%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 66.1 · OBV -27.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$1,131.4 - $1,285.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.58% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$1,300.4
Nearest resistance

+12.29% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,285.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,145
Nearest support

-1.18% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,131.4
Deeper support zone

-2.47% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$1,116.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,130.3 - $1,159.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,131.4, invalidation $1,168.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 26.5 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,099.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,169.1 / $1,209.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.69 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.56%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,194.5 / $1,136.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,130.3 / $1,159.7Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,285.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,131.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.774Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.5 / 25.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,131.4, invalidation $1,168.4

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 26.5 / 31.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,099.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,169.1 / $1,209.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.774Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.5 / 25.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.69 (1.28%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.56%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,194.5 / $1,136.9Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,130.3 / $1,159.7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,285.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,131.4Range

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