US stock / ETF

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

MPWR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish60%
1h Downside probability 60%Bearish

MPWR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $1,453 and stabilize above resistance $1,587.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,587.1 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.8, MACD 0.264

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $29.68 (2.1%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$1,423.8Bearish
EMA 21$1,453Bearish
EMA 50$1,495.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD 0.264

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $29.68 · BB 13.96%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 66.6 · OBV 20.27%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$1,393.7 - $1,587.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.17% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$1,616.8
Nearest resistance

+12.07% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,587.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$1,416.2
Nearest support

-1.58% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$1,393.7
Deeper support zone

-3.68% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$1,364
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$1,386.5 - $1,445.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,447, invalidation $1,407.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 22.7 / 44.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,358.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,455.4 / $1,530Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$29.68 (2.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.96%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,490.7 / $1,411Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,386.5 / $1,445.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,587.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,393.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.264Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.3 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

20.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,447, invalidation $1,407.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 22.7 / 44.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$1,358.1Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$1,455.4 / $1,530Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.264Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.3 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-58.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$29.68 (2.1%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.96%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,490.7 / $1,411Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$1,386.5 / $1,445.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

20.27%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,587.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$1,393.7Range

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